Cno Financial Group Stock Price Patterns
| CNO Stock | USD 43.06 0.14 0.32% |
Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9167 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.38 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.872 | Wall Street Target Price 48 |
Using CNO Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CNO Financial Group from the perspective of CNO Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CNO Financial using CNO Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CNO using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CNO Financial's stock price.
CNO Financial Short Interest
An investor who is long CNO Financial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about CNO Financial and may potentially protect profits, hedge CNO Financial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 39.5768 | Short Percent 0.0294 | Short Ratio 3.47 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.8 M | 50 Day MA 42.2568 |
CNO Financial Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CNO Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CNO. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CNO can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CNO Financial Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CNO Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CNO Financial.
CNO Financial Implied Volatility | 0.75 |
CNO Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CNO Financial Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CNO Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CNO Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when CNO Financial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CNO Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CNO because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CNO Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 43.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CNO contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CNO Financial Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0469% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With CNO Financial trading at USD 43.06, that is roughly USD 0.0202 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CNO Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CNO Financial Group options at the current volatility level of 0.75%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out CNO Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. CNO Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CNO Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CNO Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CNO Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CNO Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CNO Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CNO Financial's historical news coverage. CNO Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 41.73 and 44.61, respectively. We have considered CNO Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CNO Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CNO Financial Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
CNO Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CNO Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CNO Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CNO Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.46 | 0.04 | 0.12 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
43.06 | 43.17 | 0.33 |
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CNO Financial Hype Timeline
On the 17th of February 2026 CNO Financial Group is traded for 43.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.12. CNO is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 43.17 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.33%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on CNO Financial is about 185.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.94. The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.49 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 404 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.74 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out CNO Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CNO Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CNO Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CNO Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how CNO Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CNO Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FG | FG Annuities Life | (1.84) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.02 | (4.09) | 11.26 | |
| GNW | Genworth Financial | 0.01 | 8 per month | 1.26 | (0.01) | 2.10 | (2.22) | 6.48 | |
| AGO | Assured Guaranty | (0.55) | 7 per month | 1.10 | (0.06) | 1.63 | (1.39) | 6.60 | |
| BHF | Brighthouse Financial | (0.18) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.44) | 0.34 | (0.48) | 1.38 | |
| SFBS | ServisFirst Bancshares | (4.13) | 8 per month | 1.29 | 0.1 | 3.57 | (1.68) | 20.01 | |
| TCBI | Texas Capital Bancshares | (1.22) | 10 per month | 1.35 | 0.12 | 3.42 | (2.12) | 10.21 | |
| ATH | Athene Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CADE | Cadence Bancorp | (0.56) | 6 per month | 1.49 | 0.07 | 3.30 | (2.25) | 10.36 | |
| FHI | Federated Investors B | 0.68 | 7 per month | 1.25 | 0.09 | 2.10 | (2.28) | 5.14 | |
| GBDC | Golub Capital BDC | (0.1) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.69 | (1.82) | 7.65 |
CNO Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CNO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CNO using various technical indicators. When you analyze CNO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About CNO Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CNO Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CNO Financial Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CNO Financial based on analysis of CNO Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CNO Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CNO Financial's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0171 | 0.0158 | 0.0137 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.89 | 0.93 | 0.51 |
Pair Trading with CNO Financial
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if CNO Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CNO Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with CNO Stock
Moving against CNO Stock
| 0.57 | BROC | Brighthouse Financial Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.55 | BHF | Brighthouse Financial Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to CNO Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace CNO Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back CNO Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling CNO Financial Group to buy it.
The correlation of CNO Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as CNO Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if CNO Financial Group moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for CNO Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out CNO Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Will Life & Health Insurance sector continue expanding? Could CNO diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CNO Financial. Projected growth potential of CNO fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every CNO Financial data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | Dividend Share 0.67 | Earnings Share 2.3 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.042 |
Understanding CNO Financial Group requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects CNO's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what CNO Financial's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push CNO Financial's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between CNO Financial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CNO Financial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, CNO Financial's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.