Grupo Financiero Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| GPFOF Stock | USD 2.62 0.12 4.80% |
Grupo Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Grupo Financiero's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Grupo Financiero's pink sheet price is roughly 62. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors as of 2nd of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Grupo, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Grupo Financiero hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Grupo Financiero Inbursa from the perspective of Grupo Financiero response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Grupo Financiero Inbursa on the next trading day is expected to be 2.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.73. Grupo Financiero after-hype prediction price | USD 2.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Grupo |
Grupo Financiero Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Grupo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grupo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Grupo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Grupo Financiero Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Grupo Financiero Inbursa on the next trading day is expected to be 2.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Grupo Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Grupo Financiero's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Grupo Financiero Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Grupo Financiero | Grupo Financiero Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Grupo Financiero Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Grupo Financiero's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Grupo Financiero's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.66 and 4.60, respectively. We have considered Grupo Financiero's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Grupo Financiero pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Grupo Financiero pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0094 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0293 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0119 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.7275 |
Predictive Modules for Grupo Financiero
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo Financiero Inbursa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Grupo Financiero After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Grupo Financiero at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Grupo Financiero or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Grupo Financiero, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Grupo Financiero Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Grupo Financiero's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Grupo Financiero's historical news coverage. Grupo Financiero's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.65 and 4.59, respectively. We have considered Grupo Financiero's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Grupo Financiero is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Grupo Financiero Inbursa is based on 3 months time horizon.
Grupo Financiero Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Grupo Financiero is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grupo Financiero backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Grupo Financiero, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.97 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.62 | 2.62 | 0.00 |
|
Grupo Financiero Hype Timeline
Grupo Financiero Inbursa is currently traded for 2.62. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Grupo is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Grupo Financiero is about 2141.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.60. About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.48. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Grupo Financiero Inbursa last dividend was issued on the 9th of May 2019. The entity had 2:1 split on the 16th of August 2011. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Grupo Financiero to cross-verify your projections.Grupo Financiero Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Grupo Financiero's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Grupo Financiero's future price movements. Getting to know how Grupo Financiero's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Grupo Financiero may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BKPKF | Bank Polska Kasa | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.67 | |
| BKRIF | Bank of Ireland | (0.81) | 21 per month | 1.95 | 0.19 | 3.44 | (2.57) | 13.74 | |
| EGFEY | Eurobank Ergasias SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.63 | (8.85) | 106.17 | |
| EGFEF | Eurobank Ergasias Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 3.02 | 0.00 | 43.33 | |
| MDIBY | Mediobanca Banca di | (0.11) | 3 per month | 1.53 | 0.08 | 3.02 | (2.41) | 9.57 | |
| KPCPY | Kasikornbank Public Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.02 | 0.08 | 3.71 | (3.07) | 11.07 | |
| NBGRY | National Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.82 | 0.11 | 7.57 | (6.36) | 20.59 | |
| NBGIF | National Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.14 | 0.12 | 6.80 | (4.71) | 13.93 | |
| BKNIY | Bankinter SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.27 | 0.13 | 2.97 | (2.08) | 7.49 | |
| BKIMF | Bankinter SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.97 |
Other Forecasting Options for Grupo Financiero
For every potential investor in Grupo, whether a beginner or expert, Grupo Financiero's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Grupo Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Grupo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Grupo Financiero's price trends.Grupo Financiero Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Grupo Financiero pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Grupo Financiero could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grupo Financiero by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Grupo Financiero Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Grupo Financiero pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Grupo Financiero shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Grupo Financiero pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Grupo Financiero Inbursa entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.05 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.62 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.62 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.06 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.12 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 62.84 |
Grupo Financiero Risk Indicators
The analysis of Grupo Financiero's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Grupo Financiero's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting grupo pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9915 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Variance | 4.25 | |||
| Downside Variance | 15.08 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.01) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Grupo Financiero
The number of cover stories for Grupo Financiero depends on current market conditions and Grupo Financiero's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Grupo Financiero is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Grupo Financiero's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in Grupo Pink Sheet
Grupo Financiero financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grupo Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grupo with respect to the benefits of owning Grupo Financiero security.