Grupo Financiero Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

GPFOF Stock  USD 2.15  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Grupo Financiero Inbursa on the next trading day is expected to be 2.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.58. Grupo Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Grupo Financiero's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Grupo Financiero simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Grupo Financiero Inbursa are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Grupo Financiero Inbursa prices get older.

Grupo Financiero Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Grupo Financiero Inbursa on the next trading day is expected to be 2.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Grupo Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Grupo Financiero's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Grupo Financiero Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Grupo Financiero Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Grupo Financiero's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Grupo Financiero's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.38 and 3.92, respectively. We have considered Grupo Financiero's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.15
2.15
Expected Value
3.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Grupo Financiero pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Grupo Financiero pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.9321
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.001
MADMean absolute deviation0.0097
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0043
SAESum of the absolute errors0.58
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Grupo Financiero Inbursa forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Grupo Financiero observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Grupo Financiero

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo Financiero Inbursa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.382.153.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.292.063.83
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Grupo Financiero

For every potential investor in Grupo, whether a beginner or expert, Grupo Financiero's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Grupo Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Grupo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Grupo Financiero's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Grupo Financiero Inbursa Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Grupo Financiero's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Grupo Financiero's current price.

Grupo Financiero Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Grupo Financiero pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Grupo Financiero shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Grupo Financiero pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Grupo Financiero Inbursa entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Grupo Financiero Risk Indicators

The analysis of Grupo Financiero's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Grupo Financiero's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting grupo pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Grupo Pink Sheet

Grupo Financiero financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grupo Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grupo with respect to the benefits of owning Grupo Financiero security.