Gorman Rupp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| GRC Stock | USD 41.99 1.01 2.46% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gorman Rupp on the next trading day is expected to be 40.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.35. Gorman Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Gorman Rupp stock prices and determine the direction of Gorman Rupp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Gorman Rupp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Gorman |
Gorman Rupp Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Gorman Rupp's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1985-12-31 | Previous Quarter 34.2 M | Current Value 39.7 M | Quarterly Volatility 30.2 M |
Gorman Rupp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gorman Rupp on the next trading day is expected to be 40.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65, mean absolute percentage error of 0.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.35.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gorman Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gorman Rupp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gorman Rupp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Gorman Rupp | Gorman Rupp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Gorman Rupp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Gorman Rupp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gorman Rupp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 38.56 and 42.37, respectively. We have considered Gorman Rupp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gorman Rupp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gorman Rupp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.6014 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6507 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0167 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 40.3462 |
Predictive Modules for Gorman Rupp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gorman Rupp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Gorman Rupp
For every potential investor in Gorman, whether a beginner or expert, Gorman Rupp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gorman Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gorman. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gorman Rupp's price trends.Gorman Rupp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gorman Rupp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gorman Rupp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gorman Rupp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gorman Rupp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Gorman Rupp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Gorman Rupp's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Gorman Rupp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gorman Rupp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gorman Rupp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gorman Rupp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gorman Rupp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Gorman Rupp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gorman Rupp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gorman Rupp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gorman stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Variance | 3.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.76 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.32 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.42) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Gorman Rupp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Gorman Rupp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gorman Rupp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gorman Rupp Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gorman Rupp to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Gorman Stock refer to our How to Trade Gorman Stock guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gorman Rupp. If investors know Gorman will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gorman Rupp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.437 | Dividend Share 0.72 | Earnings Share 1.46 | Revenue Per Share 25.086 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.004 |
The market value of Gorman Rupp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gorman that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gorman Rupp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gorman Rupp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gorman Rupp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gorman Rupp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gorman Rupp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gorman Rupp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gorman Rupp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.