Gorman Rupp Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

GRC Stock  USD 56.92  0.54  0.96%   
Gorman Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Gorman Rupp stock prices and determine the direction of Gorman Rupp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Gorman Rupp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Gorman Rupp's stock price is about 69. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Gorman, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 69

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Gorman Rupp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gorman Rupp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Gorman Rupp's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.485
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.01
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.25
Wall Street Target Price
59
Using Gorman Rupp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gorman Rupp from the perspective of Gorman Rupp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gorman Rupp using Gorman Rupp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gorman using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gorman Rupp's stock price.

Gorman Rupp Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Gorman Rupp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Gorman. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Gorman Rupp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
42.8205
Short Percent
0.0168
Short Ratio
4.62
Shares Short Prior Month
304.8 K
50 Day MA
49.16

Gorman Relative Strength Index

The Simple Regression forecasted value of Gorman Rupp on the next trading day is expected to be 54.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.31.

Gorman Rupp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Gorman Rupp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gorman. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gorman can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gorman Rupp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Gorman Rupp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Gorman Rupp.

Gorman Rupp Implied Volatility

    
  1.13  
Gorman Rupp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gorman Rupp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gorman Rupp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gorman Rupp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gorman Rupp's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Gorman Rupp on the next trading day is expected to be 54.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.31.

Gorman Rupp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 56.92  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gorman Rupp to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Gorman Stock refer to our How to Trade Gorman Stock guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Gorman contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Gorman Rupp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0706% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Gorman Rupp trading at USD 56.92, that is roughly USD 0.0402 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Gorman Rupp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Gorman Rupp options at the current volatility level of 1.13%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Gorman Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Gorman Rupp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Gorman Rupp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Gorman Rupp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Gorman Rupp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Gorman Rupp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Gorman Rupp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Gorman. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Gorman Rupp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Gorman price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gorman using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gorman charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Gorman Rupp price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Gorman Rupp Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Gorman Rupp on the next trading day is expected to be 54.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.96, mean absolute percentage error of 1.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gorman Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gorman Rupp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gorman Rupp Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Gorman Rupp  Gorman Rupp Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Gorman Rupp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Gorman Rupp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gorman Rupp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 53.02 and 56.44, respectively. We have considered Gorman Rupp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
56.92
54.73
Expected Value
56.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gorman Rupp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gorman Rupp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.223
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9566
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0195
SAESum of the absolute errors59.3075
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Gorman Rupp historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Gorman Rupp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gorman Rupp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
55.2256.9258.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.2363.2264.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
47.1351.8956.65
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
53.6959.0065.49
Details

Gorman Rupp After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Gorman Rupp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gorman Rupp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gorman Rupp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Gorman Rupp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Gorman Rupp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gorman Rupp's historical news coverage. Gorman Rupp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 55.22 and 58.62, respectively. We have considered Gorman Rupp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
56.92
56.92
After-hype Price
58.62
Upside
Gorman Rupp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gorman Rupp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Gorman Rupp Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gorman Rupp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gorman Rupp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gorman Rupp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.42 
1.71
  0.37 
  0.19 
7 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
56.92
56.92
0.00 
196.55  
Notes

Gorman Rupp Hype Timeline

On the 4th of February Gorman Rupp is traded for 56.92. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.37, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.19. Gorman is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 196.55%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.42%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gorman Rupp is about 375.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 57.11. About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Gorman Rupp was currently reported as 15.4. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.59. Gorman Rupp last dividend was issued on the 13th of February 2026. The entity had 5:4 split on the 11th of December 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gorman Rupp to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Gorman Stock refer to our How to Trade Gorman Stock guide.

Gorman Rupp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Gorman Rupp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gorman Rupp's future price movements. Getting to know how Gorman Rupp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gorman Rupp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CYDChina Yuchai International(1.27)9 per month 2.06  0.11  5.03 (4.16) 13.57 
LNNLindsay(1.34)8 per month 1.39  0.11  2.78 (2.68) 8.40 
THRThermon Group Holdings(0.43)10 per month 1.11  0.32  4.30 (2.28) 15.73 
TNCTennant Company 3.69 38 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.32 (3.04) 7.68 
BLDPBallard Power Systems 0.03 10 per month 0.00 (0.21) 3.96 (5.88) 15.31 
CCECCapital Clean Energy(0.47)9 per month 2.18 (0.01) 3.94 (3.83) 8.72 
ASTEAstec Industries 1.58 9 per month 1.61  0.06  4.15 (2.82) 7.79 
CRAICRA International 2.57 10 per month 2.52 (0.01) 3.23 (4.49) 13.09 
GICGlobal Industrial Co 0.14 4 per month 0.87  0.1  2.67 (1.69) 5.63 
HSIIHeidrick Struggles International 0.06 8 per month 0.30  0.09  0.90 (1.41) 19.72 

Other Forecasting Options for Gorman Rupp

For every potential investor in Gorman, whether a beginner or expert, Gorman Rupp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gorman Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gorman. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gorman Rupp's price trends.

Gorman Rupp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gorman Rupp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gorman Rupp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gorman Rupp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gorman Rupp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gorman Rupp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gorman Rupp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gorman Rupp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gorman Rupp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Gorman Rupp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Gorman Rupp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gorman Rupp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gorman stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Gorman Rupp

The number of cover stories for Gorman Rupp depends on current market conditions and Gorman Rupp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gorman Rupp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gorman Rupp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Gorman Rupp Short Properties

Gorman Rupp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gorman Rupp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gorman Rupp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gorman Rupp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gorman Rupp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments24.2 M
When determining whether Gorman Rupp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Gorman Rupp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gorman Rupp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gorman Rupp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gorman Rupp to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Gorman Stock refer to our How to Trade Gorman Stock guide.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Will Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components sector continue expanding? Could Gorman diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gorman Rupp. Market participants price Gorman higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Gorman Rupp data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
Dividend Share
0.74
Earnings Share
1.91
Revenue Per Share
25.825
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.028
Understanding Gorman Rupp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Gorman's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Gorman Rupp's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Gorman Rupp's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gorman Rupp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gorman Rupp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Gorman Rupp's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.