Greenidge Generation Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GREEL Stock | USD 21.50 0.09 0.42% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Greenidge Generation Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 21.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.43. Greenidge Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength indicator of Greenidge Generation's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Greenidge Generation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Greenidge Generation Holdings from the perspective of Greenidge Generation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Greenidge Generation Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 21.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.43. Greenidge Generation after-hype prediction price | USD 21.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Greenidge Generation Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Greenidge price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Greenidge using various technical indicators. When you analyze Greenidge charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Greenidge Generation Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Greenidge Generation Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 21.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.43.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Greenidge Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Greenidge Generation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Greenidge Generation Stock Forecast Pattern
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Greenidge Generation Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Greenidge Generation's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Greenidge Generation's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.27 and 24.73, respectively. We have considered Greenidge Generation's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Greenidge Generation stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Greenidge Generation stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.1418 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1352 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4072 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0238 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 24.43 |
Predictive Modules for Greenidge Generation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Greenidge Generation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Greenidge Generation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Greenidge Generation After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Greenidge Generation at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Greenidge Generation or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Greenidge Generation, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Greenidge Generation Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Greenidge Generation's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Greenidge Generation's historical news coverage. Greenidge Generation's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.27 and 24.73, respectively. We have considered Greenidge Generation's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Greenidge Generation is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Greenidge Generation is based on 3 months time horizon.
Greenidge Generation Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Greenidge Generation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Greenidge Generation backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Greenidge Generation, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.79 | 3.23 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
21.50 | 21.50 | 0.00 |
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Greenidge Generation Hype Timeline
Greenidge Generation is currently traded for 21.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.05. Greenidge is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.79%. %. The volatility of related hype on Greenidge Generation is about 4681.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.45. The company last dividend was issued on the 31st of January 2026. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Greenidge Generation to cross-verify your projections.Greenidge Generation Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Greenidge Generation's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Greenidge Generation's future price movements. Getting to know how Greenidge Generation's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Greenidge Generation may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LPSN | LivePerson | 0.02 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 7.31 | (6.85) | 25.36 | |
| INLX | Intellinetics | (1.00) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 2.96 | (4.00) | 11.14 | |
| BLIV | BeLive Holdings Ordinary | 0.29 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.96 | (8.10) | 25.35 | |
| BMR | Beamr Imaging Ltd | (0.02) | 21 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 6.90 | (8.19) | 19.23 | |
| MFI | mF International Limited | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 18.00 | (17.00) | 47.72 | |
| VBIX | Viewbix Common Stock | (0.02) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 10.76 | (7.00) | 53.07 | |
| NXPL | Nextplat Corp | 0.00 | 8 per month | 4.83 | (0) | 8.33 | (8.16) | 28.43 | |
| NUKK | Nukkleus | (0.06) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 13.02 | (12.32) | 37.32 | |
| MKTW | Marketwise | 0.29 | 7 per month | 1.62 | 0.08 | 4.01 | (2.84) | 23.45 | |
| NXTT | Next Technology Holding | (0.20) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 17.13 | (15.00) | 47.42 |
Other Forecasting Options for Greenidge Generation
For every potential investor in Greenidge, whether a beginner or expert, Greenidge Generation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Greenidge Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Greenidge. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Greenidge Generation's price trends.Greenidge Generation Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Greenidge Generation stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Greenidge Generation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Greenidge Generation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Greenidge Generation Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Greenidge Generation stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Greenidge Generation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Greenidge Generation stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Greenidge Generation Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Greenidge Generation Risk Indicators
The analysis of Greenidge Generation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Greenidge Generation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting greenidge stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.42 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.26 | |||
| Variance | 10.61 | |||
| Downside Variance | 10.28 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.95 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.88) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Greenidge Generation
The number of cover stories for Greenidge Generation depends on current market conditions and Greenidge Generation's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Greenidge Generation is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Greenidge Generation's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Greenidge Generation to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Greenidge Generation. If investors know Greenidge will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Greenidge Generation listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Greenidge Generation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Greenidge that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Greenidge Generation's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Greenidge Generation's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Greenidge Generation's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Greenidge Generation's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Greenidge Generation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Greenidge Generation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Greenidge Generation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.