Gateway Bank Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| GWBK Stock | USD 0.07 0.01 9.84% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gateway Bank FSB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.1. Gateway Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Gateway Bank's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Gateway Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gateway Bank FSB from the perspective of Gateway Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gateway Bank FSB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.1. Gateway Bank after-hype prediction price | USD 0.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gateway |
Gateway Bank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gateway price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gateway using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gateway charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Gateway Bank Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gateway Bank FSB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000516, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.1.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gateway Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gateway Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gateway Bank Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Gateway Bank Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Gateway Bank's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gateway Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0007 and 3.45, respectively. We have considered Gateway Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gateway Bank pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gateway Bank pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 105.9367 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0016 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0227 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0957 |
Predictive Modules for Gateway Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gateway Bank FSB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gateway Bank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gateway Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gateway Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Gateway Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gateway Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gateway Bank's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gateway Bank's historical news coverage. Gateway Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 3.48, respectively. We have considered Gateway Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gateway Bank is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gateway Bank FSB is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gateway Bank Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gateway Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gateway Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gateway Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 3.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.07 | 0.07 | 4.48 |
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Gateway Bank Hype Timeline
Gateway Bank FSB is currently traded for 0.07. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Gateway is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.07 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price upswing on the next news is estimated to be 4.48%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Gateway Bank is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.07. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gateway Bank to cross-verify your projections.Gateway Bank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gateway Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gateway Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Gateway Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gateway Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VWFB | VWF Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.77 | (0.0003) | 1.66 | (1.85) | 6.50 | |
| CBHC | CBC Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.97 | |
| WVFC | WVS Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.27 | (0.02) | 2.69 | (2.39) | 10.36 | |
| CRZY | Crazy Woman Creek | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.85 | (0.05) | 1.65 | (2.02) | 7.49 | |
| UNIF | U I Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.27 | (1.27) | 5.60 | |
| PFSB | Pennfed Financial Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.26 | 1.70 | (0.52) | 7.87 | |
| FIBH | First Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 2.79 | (0.75) | 20.88 | |
| FBPI | First Bancorp of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.25 | 0.05 | 1.07 | (1.07) | 4.55 | |
| TBBA | Teb Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.26 | (4.66) | 20.34 | |
| LOGN | Logansport Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.93 | 0.05 | 1.56 | (1.00) | 9.11 |
Other Forecasting Options for Gateway Bank
For every potential investor in Gateway, whether a beginner or expert, Gateway Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gateway Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gateway. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gateway Bank's price trends.Gateway Bank Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gateway Bank pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gateway Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gateway Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gateway Bank Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gateway Bank pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gateway Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gateway Bank pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Gateway Bank FSB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.1 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.067 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.067 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.003 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.006 |
Gateway Bank Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gateway Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gateway Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gateway pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.38 | |||
| Variance | 11.41 | |||
| Downside Variance | 43.35 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.44 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (10.56) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Gateway Bank
The number of cover stories for Gateway Bank depends on current market conditions and Gateway Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gateway Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gateway Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Gateway Pink Sheet
Gateway Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gateway Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gateway with respect to the benefits of owning Gateway Bank security.