Hannon Armstrong Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| HASI Stock | USD 34.55 0.21 0.61% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Hannon Armstrong Sustainable on the next trading day is expected to be 34.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.69. Hannon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hannon Armstrong's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Hannon Armstrong's stock price is under 62. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 23rd of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hannon, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Hannon Armstrong hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hannon Armstrong Sustainable from the perspective of Hannon Armstrong response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Hannon Armstrong Sustainable on the next trading day is expected to be 34.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.69. Hannon Armstrong after-hype prediction price | USD 34.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hannon Armstrong to cross-verify your projections. Hannon Armstrong Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hannon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hannon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hannon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hannon Armstrong Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Hannon Armstrong Sustainable on the next trading day is expected to be 34.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.14, mean absolute percentage error of 2.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.69.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hannon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hannon Armstrong's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hannon Armstrong Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hannon Armstrong | Hannon Armstrong Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Hannon Armstrong Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hannon Armstrong's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hannon Armstrong's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.20 and 36.65, respectively. We have considered Hannon Armstrong's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hannon Armstrong stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hannon Armstrong stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.6559 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1402 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0365 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 70.6931 |
Predictive Modules for Hannon Armstrong
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hannon Armstrong Sus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hannon Armstrong's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hannon Armstrong After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hannon Armstrong at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hannon Armstrong or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hannon Armstrong, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hannon Armstrong Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hannon Armstrong's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hannon Armstrong's historical news coverage. Hannon Armstrong's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.34 and 36.76, respectively. We have considered Hannon Armstrong's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hannon Armstrong is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hannon Armstrong Sus is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hannon Armstrong Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hannon Armstrong is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hannon Armstrong backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hannon Armstrong, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 2.23 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
34.55 | 34.55 | 0.00 |
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Hannon Armstrong Hype Timeline
Hannon Armstrong Sus is currently traded for 34.55. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Hannon is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.35%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hannon Armstrong is about 4645.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.53. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.63. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hannon Armstrong Sus has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.36. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hannon Armstrong to cross-verify your projections.Hannon Armstrong Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hannon Armstrong's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hannon Armstrong's future price movements. Getting to know how Hannon Armstrong's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hannon Armstrong may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HTGC | Hercules Capital | (0.04) | 29 per month | 0.91 | 0.06 | 1.86 | (1.64) | 4.48 | |
| TBBK | The Bancorp | (0.24) | 15 per month | 3.21 | (0.03) | 4.18 | (2.96) | 19.50 | |
| INTR | Inter Co Class | (0.35) | 30 per month | 3.00 | (0.02) | 4.38 | (3.98) | 14.58 | |
| GNW | Genworth Financial | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.47 | (2.27) | 5.62 | |
| ATH | Athene Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GBDC | Golub Capital BDC | (0.04) | 11 per month | 0.88 | (0.1) | 1.37 | (1.31) | 3.53 | |
| FULT | Fulton Financial | (0.24) | 12 per month | 1.00 | 0.15 | 3.25 | (1.65) | 7.45 | |
| ASB | Associated Banc Corp | 0.59 | 9 per month | 0.99 | 0.07 | 3.48 | (1.49) | 8.56 | |
| CNO | CNO Financial Group | 0.03 | 11 per month | 1.13 | 0 | 2.09 | (1.72) | 7.94 | |
| INDB | Independent Bank | (0.24) | 6 per month | 0.90 | 0.14 | 3.59 | (1.39) | 7.50 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hannon Armstrong
For every potential investor in Hannon, whether a beginner or expert, Hannon Armstrong's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hannon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hannon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hannon Armstrong's price trends.Hannon Armstrong Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hannon Armstrong stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hannon Armstrong could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hannon Armstrong by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hannon Armstrong Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hannon Armstrong stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hannon Armstrong shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hannon Armstrong stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hannon Armstrong Sustainable entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hannon Armstrong Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hannon Armstrong's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hannon Armstrong's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hannon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Variance | 4.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.87 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.21 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.78) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hannon Armstrong
The number of cover stories for Hannon Armstrong depends on current market conditions and Hannon Armstrong's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hannon Armstrong is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hannon Armstrong's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hannon Armstrong Short Properties
Hannon Armstrong's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hannon Armstrong's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hannon Armstrong Sustainable often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hannon Armstrong's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hannon Armstrong's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 130.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 129.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hannon Armstrong to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hannon Armstrong. If investors know Hannon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hannon Armstrong listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Hannon Armstrong Sus is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hannon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hannon Armstrong's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hannon Armstrong's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hannon Armstrong's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hannon Armstrong's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hannon Armstrong's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hannon Armstrong is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hannon Armstrong's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.