HCA Holdings Etf Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| HCA Etf | USD 509.84 10.63 2.13% |
HCA Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast HCA Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of HCA Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of HCA Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of HCA Holdings' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.445 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 7.1048 | EPS Estimate Current Year 30.1284 | EPS Estimate Next Year 33.1924 | Wall Street Target Price 528.5238 |
Using HCA Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HCA Holdings from the perspective of HCA Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards HCA Holdings using HCA Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards HCA using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of HCA Holdings' stock price.
HCA Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.3 |
HCA Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of HCA Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if HCA Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that HCA Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when HCA Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of HCA Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 509.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 389.48. HCA Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 509.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of HCA Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current HCA contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that HCA Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0188% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With HCA Holdings trading at USD 509.84, that is roughly USD 0.0956 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating HCA Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring HCA Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.3%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 HCA Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast HCA Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in HCA Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for HCA Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current HCA Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to HCA Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of HCA Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in HCA. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
HCA Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine HCA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HCA using various technical indicators. When you analyze HCA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
HCA Holdings Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of HCA Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 509.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.60, mean absolute percentage error of 80.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 389.48.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HCA Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HCA Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
HCA Holdings Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest HCA Holdings | HCA Holdings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
HCA Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting HCA Holdings' Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HCA Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 508.06 and 511.62, respectively. We have considered HCA Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HCA Holdings etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HCA Holdings etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.8172 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.1558 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.6014 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0136 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 389.48 |
Predictive Modules for HCA Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HCA Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HCA Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
HCA Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of HCA Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in HCA Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of HCA Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
HCA Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting HCA Holdings' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on HCA Holdings' historical news coverage. HCA Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 508.14 and 511.70, respectively. We have considered HCA Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
HCA Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of HCA Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
HCA Holdings Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as HCA Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HCA Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with HCA Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.78 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
509.84 | 509.92 | 0.02 |
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HCA Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 5th of February HCA Holdings is traded for 509.84. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. HCA is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 509.92 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on HCA Holdings is about 185.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 509.94. The company reported the last year's revenue of 75.6 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 6.78 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 31.37 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of HCA Holdings to cross-verify your projections.HCA Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to HCA Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict HCA Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how HCA Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how HCA Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MDT | Medtronic PLC | 0.33 | 8 per month | 0.67 | 0.1 | 2.41 | (1.30) | 6.95 | |
| SNY | Sanofi ADR | (0.12) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.87 | (2.19) | 5.92 | |
| VRTX | Vertex Pharmaceuticals | 3.82 | 9 per month | 1.23 | 0.07 | 3.37 | (2.36) | 9.91 | |
| MCK | McKesson | 3.94 | 10 per month | 1.42 | (0.05) | 1.95 | (2.66) | 5.78 | |
| BMY | Bristol Myers Squibb | (0.36) | 7 per month | 1.03 | 0.19 | 3.26 | (1.98) | 8.00 | |
| GSK | GlaxoSmithKline PLC ADR | (0.63) | 9 per month | 0.96 | 0.14 | 2.34 | (1.83) | 6.43 | |
| CVS | CVS Health Corp | 2.40 | 7 per month | 3.16 | (0.02) | 2.57 | (2.07) | 17.16 | |
| THC | Tenet Healthcare | (3.64) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.14 | (2.47) | 14.80 | |
| SYK | Stryker | 4.29 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.16 | (1.99) | 6.72 | |
| PFE | Pfizer Inc | (0.41) | 7 per month | 1.26 | 0.1 | 2.40 | (2.42) | 7.97 |
Other Forecasting Options for HCA Holdings
For every potential investor in HCA, whether a beginner or expert, HCA Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HCA Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HCA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HCA Holdings' price trends.HCA Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HCA Holdings etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HCA Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HCA Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
HCA Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HCA Holdings etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HCA Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HCA Holdings etf market strength indicators, traders can identify HCA Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0273 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.7626 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 502.87 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 505.19 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 13.94 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 12.28 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 10.63 |
HCA Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of HCA Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HCA Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hca etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Variance | 3.02 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.95 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.63 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.23) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for HCA Holdings
The number of cover stories for HCA Holdings depends on current market conditions and HCA Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that HCA Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about HCA Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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HCA Holdings Short Properties
HCA Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when HCA Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of HCA Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential HCA Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HCA Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 230.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Other Information on Investing in HCA Etf
HCA Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether HCA Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HCA with respect to the benefits of owning HCA Holdings security.