Healthcare Services Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| HCSG Stock | USD 18.62 0.07 0.38% |
Healthcare Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Healthcare Services' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Healthcare Services' share price is approaching 48. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Healthcare Services, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Healthcare Services hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Healthcare Services Group from the perspective of Healthcare Services response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Healthcare Services Group on the next trading day is expected to be 18.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.34. Healthcare Services after-hype prediction price | USD 18.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Healthcare Services Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Healthcare price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Healthcare using various technical indicators. When you analyze Healthcare charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Healthcare Services Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Healthcare Services Group on the next trading day is expected to be 18.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.34.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Healthcare Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Healthcare Services' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Healthcare Services Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Healthcare Services | Healthcare Services Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Healthcare Services Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Healthcare Services' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Healthcare Services' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.48 and 20.69, respectively. We have considered Healthcare Services' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Healthcare Services stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Healthcare Services stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.8875 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0183 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2939 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0159 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.34 |
Predictive Modules for Healthcare Services
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Healthcare Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Healthcare Services' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Healthcare Services After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Healthcare Services at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Healthcare Services or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Healthcare Services, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Healthcare Services Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Healthcare Services' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Healthcare Services' historical news coverage. Healthcare Services' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.52 and 20.72, respectively. We have considered Healthcare Services' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Healthcare Services is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Healthcare Services is based on 3 months time horizon.
Healthcare Services Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Healthcare Services is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Healthcare Services backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Healthcare Services, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 2.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.62 | 18.62 | 0.00 |
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Healthcare Services Hype Timeline
Healthcare Services is currently traded for 18.62. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Healthcare is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Healthcare Services is about 105000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.62. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Healthcare Services was currently reported as 7.02. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.39. Healthcare Services last dividend was issued on the 17th of November 2022. The entity had 3:2 split on the 15th of November 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Healthcare Services to cross-verify your projections.Healthcare Services Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Healthcare Services' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Healthcare Services' future price movements. Getting to know how Healthcare Services' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Healthcare Services may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| USPH | US Physicalrapy | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.72 | (3.55) | 13.09 | |
| PNTG | Pennant Group | (0.05) | 6 per month | 2.34 | 0.05 | 3.75 | (3.33) | 17.07 | |
| AHCO | Adapthealth Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.14 | 0.04 | 4.17 | (3.28) | 24.44 | |
| SEM | Select Medical Holdings | 0.04 | 15 per month | 1.02 | 0.05 | 2.25 | (1.70) | 13.50 | |
| CNMD | CONMED | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.36 | (3.42) | 14.72 | |
| NEOG | Neogen | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.01 | 0.18 | 5.96 | (3.70) | 34.17 | |
| GDRX | Goodrx Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 2.86 | (3.90) | 10.97 | |
| KMTS | Kestra Medical Technologies | (0.13) | 17 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.59 | (7.02) | 20.54 | |
| NVAX | Novavax | 0.04 | 9 per month | 2.95 | 0.04 | 6.10 | (5.54) | 26.68 | |
| ZBIO | Zenas BioPharma Common | 0.04 | 10 per month | 11.16 | 0.03 | 13.19 | (8.49) | 84.91 |
Other Forecasting Options for Healthcare Services
For every potential investor in Healthcare, whether a beginner or expert, Healthcare Services' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Healthcare Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Healthcare. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Healthcare Services' price trends.Healthcare Services Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Healthcare Services stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Healthcare Services could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Healthcare Services by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Healthcare Services Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Healthcare Services stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Healthcare Services shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Healthcare Services stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Healthcare Services Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Healthcare Services Risk Indicators
The analysis of Healthcare Services' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Healthcare Services' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting healthcare stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.1 | |||
| Variance | 4.43 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.13 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.02 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.34) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Healthcare Services
The number of cover stories for Healthcare Services depends on current market conditions and Healthcare Services' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Healthcare Services is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Healthcare Services' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Healthcare Services Short Properties
Healthcare Services' future price predictability will typically decrease when Healthcare Services' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Healthcare Services Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Healthcare Services' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Healthcare Services' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 74 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 135.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Healthcare Services to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Can Stock industry sustain growth momentum? Does Healthcare have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Healthcare Services. Market participants price Healthcare higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Healthcare Services demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Investors evaluate Healthcare Services using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Healthcare Services' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Healthcare Services' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Healthcare Services' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Healthcare Services is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Healthcare Services' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.