HE Equipment Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

HEESDelisted Stock  USD 94.64  0.37  0.39%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of HE Equipment Services on the next trading day is expected to be 91.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.31. HEES Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of HE Equipment's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of HE Equipment's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of HE Equipment and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from HE Equipment's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with HE Equipment Services, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using HE Equipment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HE Equipment Services from the perspective of HE Equipment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of HE Equipment Services on the next trading day is expected to be 91.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.31.

HE Equipment after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 94.64  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in small area income & poverty estimates.

HE Equipment Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine HEES price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HEES using various technical indicators. When you analyze HEES charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for HE Equipment is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of HE Equipment Services value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

HE Equipment Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 22nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of HE Equipment Services on the next trading day is expected to be 91.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66, mean absolute percentage error of 0.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HEES Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HE Equipment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

HE Equipment Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest HE EquipmentHE Equipment Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HE Equipment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HE Equipment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.7683
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6608
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0071
SAESum of the absolute errors40.3114
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of HE Equipment Services. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict HE Equipment. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for HE Equipment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HE Equipment Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HE Equipment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
94.6494.6494.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.6679.66104.10
Details

HE Equipment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HE Equipment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HE Equipment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HE Equipment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

HE Equipment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HE Equipment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HE Equipment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HE Equipment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify HE Equipment Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

HE Equipment Risk Indicators

The analysis of HE Equipment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HE Equipment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hees stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in small area income & poverty estimates.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

Other Consideration for investing in HEES Stock

If you are still planning to invest in HE Equipment Services check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the HE Equipment's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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