He Equipment Services Stock Price Prediction
| HEES Stock | USD 60.79 2.03 3.45% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
69
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.93 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.4142 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.8222 | Wall Street Target Price 62 |
Using HE Equipment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HE Equipment Services from the perspective of HE Equipment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in HE Equipment to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying HEES because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
HE Equipment after-hype prediction price | USD 58.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
HEES |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HE Equipment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
HE Equipment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of HE Equipment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in HE Equipment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of HE Equipment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
HE Equipment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting HE Equipment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on HE Equipment's historical news coverage. HE Equipment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 56.28 and 61.58, respectively. We have considered HE Equipment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
HE Equipment is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of HE Equipment Services is based on 3 months time horizon.
HE Equipment Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as HE Equipment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HE Equipment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with HE Equipment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 2.65 | 0.17 | 0.03 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
60.79 | 58.93 | 0.29 |
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HE Equipment Hype Timeline
HE Equipment Services is currently traded for 60.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. HEES is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 58.93 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on HE Equipment is about 2789.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 60.82. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.47 B. Net Income was 169.29 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 555.16 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out HE Equipment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.HE Equipment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to HE Equipment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict HE Equipment's future price movements. Getting to know how HE Equipment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how HE Equipment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GATX | GATX Corporation | (0.27) | 8 per month | 0.91 | 0.07 | 2.79 | (1.44) | 8.69 | |
| MGRC | McGrath RentCorp | (2.96) | 7 per month | 1.53 | 0.05 | 3.07 | (3.05) | 11.62 | |
| ALTG | Alta Equipment Group | 0.43 | 7 per month | 3.64 | 0.08 | 6.88 | (5.48) | 25.52 | |
| R | Ryder System | (2.36) | 8 per month | 1.46 | 0.09 | 3.32 | (2.64) | 7.72 | |
| CTOS | Custom Truck One | 0.08 | 8 per month | 2.69 | 0.09 | 8.95 | (4.61) | 17.86 | |
| AAN | The Aarons | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.24 | (0.26) | 0.61 | (0.40) | 1.81 | |
| PRG | PROG Holdings | (1.85) | 8 per month | 2.26 | (0.01) | 3.11 | (2.60) | 13.60 | |
| MPU | Mega Matrix Corp | 0.01 | 7 per month | 6.26 | (0.02) | 10.06 | (8.11) | 36.32 | |
| FTAIM | FTAI Aviation Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.53 | (0.04) | 1.38 | (1.40) | 3.64 | |
| HRI | Herc Holdings | 7.88 | 9 per month | 1.14 | 0.20 | 6.47 | (2.36) | 20.05 |
HE Equipment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine HEES price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HEES using various technical indicators. When you analyze HEES charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About HE Equipment Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of HE Equipment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as HE Equipment Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of HE Equipment based on analysis of HE Equipment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to HE Equipment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to HE Equipment's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0248 | 0.0244 | 0.0212 | 0.0201 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.51 | 1.31 | 1.29 | 0.66 |
Story Coverage note for HE Equipment
The number of cover stories for HE Equipment depends on current market conditions and HE Equipment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that HE Equipment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about HE Equipment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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HE Equipment Short Properties
HE Equipment's future price predictability will typically decrease when HE Equipment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of HE Equipment Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential HE Equipment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HE Equipment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.5 M |
Additional Tools for HEES Stock Analysis
When running HE Equipment's price analysis, check to measure HE Equipment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HE Equipment is operating at the current time. Most of HE Equipment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HE Equipment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HE Equipment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HE Equipment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.