Herbalife Nutrition Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| HLF Stock | USD 14.10 1.19 9.22% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Herbalife Nutrition on the next trading day is expected to be 13.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.35. Herbalife Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Herbalife Nutrition's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 8th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Herbalife Nutrition's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.09) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4538 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.1462 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.752 | Wall Street Target Price 14 |
Using Herbalife Nutrition hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Herbalife Nutrition from the perspective of Herbalife Nutrition response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Herbalife Nutrition using Herbalife Nutrition's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Herbalife using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Herbalife Nutrition's stock price.
Herbalife Nutrition Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Herbalife Nutrition's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Herbalife. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Herbalife Nutrition stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 9.2027 | Short Percent 0.1153 | Short Ratio 3.99 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.1 M | 50 Day MA 11.3842 |
Herbalife Nutrition Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Herbalife Nutrition's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Herbalife. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Herbalife can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Herbalife Nutrition. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Herbalife Nutrition's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Herbalife Nutrition.
Herbalife Nutrition Implied Volatility | 1.03 |
Herbalife Nutrition's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Herbalife Nutrition stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Herbalife Nutrition's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Herbalife Nutrition stock will not fluctuate a lot when Herbalife Nutrition's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Herbalife Nutrition on the next trading day is expected to be 13.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.35. Herbalife Nutrition after-hype prediction price | USD 14.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Herbalife | Build AI portfolio with Herbalife Stock |
Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Herbalife Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Herbalife Nutrition's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Herbalife Nutrition's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Herbalife Nutrition stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Herbalife Nutrition's open interest, investors have to compare it to Herbalife Nutrition's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Herbalife Nutrition is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Herbalife. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Herbalife Nutrition Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Herbalife price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Herbalife using various technical indicators. When you analyze Herbalife charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Herbalife Nutrition Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Herbalife Nutrition's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2000-12-31 | Previous Quarter 320.9 M | Current Value 309.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 16.6 T |
Herbalife Nutrition Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Herbalife Nutrition on the next trading day is expected to be 13.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.35.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Herbalife Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Herbalife Nutrition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Herbalife Nutrition Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Herbalife Nutrition | Herbalife Nutrition Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Herbalife Nutrition Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Herbalife Nutrition's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Herbalife Nutrition's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.15 and 18.56, respectively. We have considered Herbalife Nutrition's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Herbalife Nutrition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Herbalife Nutrition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.0716 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4484 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0396 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.3504 |
Predictive Modules for Herbalife Nutrition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Herbalife Nutrition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Herbalife Nutrition
For every potential investor in Herbalife, whether a beginner or expert, Herbalife Nutrition's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Herbalife Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Herbalife. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Herbalife Nutrition's price trends.Herbalife Nutrition Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Herbalife Nutrition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Herbalife Nutrition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Herbalife Nutrition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Herbalife Nutrition Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Herbalife Nutrition's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Herbalife Nutrition's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Herbalife Nutrition Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Herbalife Nutrition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Herbalife Nutrition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Herbalife Nutrition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Herbalife Nutrition entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Herbalife Nutrition Risk Indicators
The analysis of Herbalife Nutrition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Herbalife Nutrition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting herbalife stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.91 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.59 | |||
| Variance | 21.1 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.54 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.05 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.75) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Herbalife Nutrition is a strong investment it is important to analyze Herbalife Nutrition's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Herbalife Nutrition's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Herbalife Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Herbalife Nutrition to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Herbalife Stock please use our How to Invest in Herbalife Nutrition guide.You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Personal Care Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Herbalife Nutrition. If investors know Herbalife will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Herbalife Nutrition listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.09) | Earnings Share 3.16 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.027 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Herbalife Nutrition is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Herbalife that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Herbalife Nutrition's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Herbalife Nutrition's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Herbalife Nutrition's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Herbalife Nutrition's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Herbalife Nutrition's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Herbalife Nutrition is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Herbalife Nutrition's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.