Herbalife Nutrition Stock Price Patterns
| HLF Stock | USD 16.80 0.11 0.66% |
Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.09) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4538 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.1629 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.7654 | Wall Street Target Price 14 |
Using Herbalife Nutrition hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Herbalife Nutrition from the perspective of Herbalife Nutrition response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Herbalife Nutrition using Herbalife Nutrition's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Herbalife using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Herbalife Nutrition's stock price.
Herbalife Nutrition Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Herbalife Nutrition's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Herbalife. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Herbalife Nutrition stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 10.0686 | Short Percent 0.1089 | Short Ratio 5.05 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.5 M | 50 Day MA 14.4692 |
Herbalife Nutrition Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Herbalife Nutrition's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Herbalife. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Herbalife can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Herbalife Nutrition. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Herbalife Nutrition's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Herbalife Nutrition.
Herbalife Nutrition Implied Volatility | 0.97 |
Herbalife Nutrition's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Herbalife Nutrition stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Herbalife Nutrition's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Herbalife Nutrition stock will not fluctuate a lot when Herbalife Nutrition's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Herbalife Nutrition to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Herbalife because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Herbalife Nutrition after-hype prediction price | USD 17.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Herbalife contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Herbalife Nutrition will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0606% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Herbalife Nutrition trading at USD 16.8, that is roughly USD 0.0102 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Herbalife Nutrition's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Herbalife Nutrition options at the current volatility level of 0.97%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Herbalife | Build AI portfolio with Herbalife Stock |
Herbalife Nutrition After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Herbalife Nutrition at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Herbalife Nutrition or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Herbalife Nutrition, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Herbalife Nutrition Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Herbalife Nutrition's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Herbalife Nutrition's historical news coverage. Herbalife Nutrition's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.68 and 21.70, respectively. We have considered Herbalife Nutrition's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Herbalife Nutrition is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Herbalife Nutrition is based on 3 months time horizon.
Herbalife Nutrition Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Herbalife Nutrition is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Herbalife Nutrition backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Herbalife Nutrition, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.12 | 4.51 | 0.50 | 0.06 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
16.80 | 17.19 | 3.00 |
|
Herbalife Nutrition Hype Timeline
On the 6th of February Herbalife Nutrition is traded for 16.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.5, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Herbalife is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.19 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 3.0%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.12%. The volatility of related hype on Herbalife Nutrition is about 8456.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.74. Herbalife Nutrition has 2.47 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.3, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Herbalife Nutrition Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Herbalife Nutrition Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Herbalife Nutrition's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Herbalife Nutrition's future price movements. Getting to know how Herbalife Nutrition's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Herbalife Nutrition may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corp | (0.39) | 8 per month | 1.95 | 0.07 | 2.65 | (2.90) | 12.80 | |
| THS | Treehouse Foods | 0.08 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 2.06 | (0.92) | 23.99 | |
| JBSS | John B Sanfilippo | 0.26 | 6 per month | 0.74 | 0.21 | 2.44 | (1.64) | 8.86 | |
| UTZ | Utz Brands | 0.11 | 9 per month | 2.49 | (0) | 3.35 | (4.78) | 9.09 | |
| NGVC | Natural Grocers by | (0.28) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.08 | (3.47) | 8.61 | |
| EPC | Edgewell Personal Care | (0.31) | 12 per month | 1.99 | 0.03 | 3.32 | (2.77) | 8.34 | |
| STKL | SunOpta | 0.04 | 9 per month | 5.43 | (0.01) | 6.09 | (3.77) | 27.96 | |
| AVO | Mission Produce | 0.59 | 12 per month | 2.41 | 0.13 | 2.46 | (3.13) | 12.39 | |
| UDMY | Udemy Inc | (0.58) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.78 | (5.24) | 24.69 |
Herbalife Nutrition Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Herbalife price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Herbalife using various technical indicators. When you analyze Herbalife charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Herbalife Nutrition Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Herbalife Nutrition stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Herbalife Nutrition, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Herbalife Nutrition based on analysis of Herbalife Nutrition hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Herbalife Nutrition's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Herbalife Nutrition's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0107 | 0.0102 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.16 | 0.15 |
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Complementary Tools for Herbalife Stock analysis
When running Herbalife Nutrition's price analysis, check to measure Herbalife Nutrition's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Herbalife Nutrition is operating at the current time. Most of Herbalife Nutrition's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Herbalife Nutrition's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Herbalife Nutrition's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Herbalife Nutrition to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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