Hon Hai Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| HNHPF Stock | USD 14.25 0.18 1.28% |
Hon Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hon Hai's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Hon Hai's share price is approaching 44. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hon Hai, making its price go up or down. Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Hon Hai hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hon Hai Precision from the perspective of Hon Hai response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hon Hai Precision on the next trading day is expected to be 13.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.44. Hon Hai after-hype prediction price | USD 14.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hon |
Hon Hai Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hon Hai Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hon Hai Precision on the next trading day is expected to be 13.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.44.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hon Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hon Hai's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hon Hai Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Hon Hai Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hon Hai's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hon Hai's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.67 and 16.03, respectively. We have considered Hon Hai's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hon Hai pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hon Hai pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.9875 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2973 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0199 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.4354 |
Predictive Modules for Hon Hai
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hon Hai Precision. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hon Hai After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hon Hai at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hon Hai or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Hon Hai, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hon Hai Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hon Hai's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hon Hai's historical news coverage. Hon Hai's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.01 and 16.49, respectively. We have considered Hon Hai's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hon Hai is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hon Hai Precision is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hon Hai Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hon Hai is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hon Hai backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hon Hai, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 2.18 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.25 | 14.25 | 0.00 |
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Hon Hai Hype Timeline
Hon Hai Precision is currently traded for 14.25. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.24. Hon is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.29%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hon Hai is about 260.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.01. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.96. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hon Hai Precision has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.69. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of July 2022. The firm had 112:100 split on the 27th of August 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hon Hai to cross-verify your projections.Hon Hai Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hon Hai's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hon Hai's future price movements. Getting to know how Hon Hai's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hon Hai may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Other Forecasting Options for Hon Hai
For every potential investor in Hon, whether a beginner or expert, Hon Hai's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hon Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hon Hai's price trends.View Hon Hai Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hon Hai Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hon Hai pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hon Hai shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hon Hai pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Hon Hai Precision entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hon Hai Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hon Hai's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hon Hai's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hon pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Variance | 4.87 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hon Hai
The number of cover stories for Hon Hai depends on current market conditions and Hon Hai's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hon Hai is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hon Hai's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Hon Pink Sheet
Hon Hai financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hon Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hon with respect to the benefits of owning Hon Hai security.