Hewlett Packard Stock Forward View

HPE Stock  USD 21.78  0.23  1.04%   
Hewlett Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hewlett Packard stock prices and determine the direction of Hewlett Packard Enterprise's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Hewlett Packard's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Hewlett Packard's share price is approaching 44. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hewlett Packard, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 44

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Hewlett Packard's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Hewlett Packard and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Hewlett Packard's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hewlett Packard Enterprise, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Hewlett Packard's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.89)
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.3635
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.7453
Wall Street Target Price
26.4444
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.5819
Using Hewlett Packard hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hewlett Packard Enterprise from the perspective of Hewlett Packard response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hewlett Packard using Hewlett Packard's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hewlett using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hewlett Packard's stock price.

Hewlett Packard Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Hewlett Packard's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Hewlett. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Hewlett Packard stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
21.3104
Short Percent
0.0718
Short Ratio
4.41
Shares Short Prior Month
68.1 M
50 Day MA
22.69

Hewlett Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hewlett Packard Enterprise on the next trading day is expected to be 23.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.79.

Hewlett Packard Ente Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Hewlett Packard's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hewlett. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hewlett can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Hewlett Packard Enterprise. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Hewlett Packard's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Hewlett Packard.

Hewlett Packard Implied Volatility

    
  0.41  
Hewlett Packard's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hewlett Packard Enterprise stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hewlett Packard's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hewlett Packard stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hewlett Packard's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hewlett Packard Enterprise on the next trading day is expected to be 23.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.79.

Hewlett Packard after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 21.78  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hewlett Packard to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Hewlett contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Hewlett Packard Enterprise will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0256% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Hewlett Packard trading at USD 21.78, that is roughly USD 0.005581 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Hewlett Packard's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Hewlett Packard Enterprise options at the current volatility level of 0.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Hewlett Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Hewlett Packard's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Hewlett Packard's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Hewlett Packard stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Hewlett Packard's open interest, investors have to compare it to Hewlett Packard's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Hewlett Packard is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Hewlett. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Hewlett Packard Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hewlett price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hewlett using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hewlett charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Hewlett Packard Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Hewlett Packard's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2013-10-31
Previous Quarter
4.6 B
Current Value
5.8 B
Quarterly Volatility
3.6 B
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Hewlett Packard is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Hewlett Packard Enterprise value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Hewlett Packard Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hewlett Packard Enterprise on the next trading day is expected to be 23.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48, mean absolute percentage error of 0.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.79.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hewlett Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hewlett Packard's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hewlett Packard Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hewlett Packard  Hewlett Packard Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Hewlett Packard Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hewlett Packard's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hewlett Packard's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.07 and 25.44, respectively. We have considered Hewlett Packard's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
21.78
23.26
Expected Value
25.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hewlett Packard stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hewlett Packard stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.9975
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4804
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0214
SAESum of the absolute errors29.7863
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Hewlett Packard Enterprise. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Hewlett Packard. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Hewlett Packard

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hewlett Packard Ente. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.6121.7823.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.9722.1424.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
20.0922.1924.28
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.0626.4429.35
Details

Hewlett Packard After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hewlett Packard at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hewlett Packard or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hewlett Packard, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Hewlett Packard Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Hewlett Packard's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hewlett Packard's historical news coverage. Hewlett Packard's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.61 and 23.95, respectively. We have considered Hewlett Packard's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
21.78
21.78
After-hype Price
23.95
Upside
Hewlett Packard is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hewlett Packard Ente is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hewlett Packard Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hewlett Packard is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hewlett Packard backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hewlett Packard, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
2.19
  0.02 
  0.01 
11 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
21.78
21.78
0.00 
842.31  
Notes

Hewlett Packard Hype Timeline

On the 4th of February Hewlett Packard Ente is traded for 21.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Hewlett is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hewlett Packard is about 1510.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.77. About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.16. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hewlett Packard Ente has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.83. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.04. The firm last dividend was issued on the 19th of December 2025. Hewlett Packard had 1289:1000 split on the 1st of September 2017. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hewlett Packard to cross-verify your projections.

Hewlett Packard Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Hewlett Packard's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hewlett Packard's future price movements. Getting to know how Hewlett Packard's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hewlett Packard may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ERICTelefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson 0.14 8 per month 1.35  0.06  2.40 (1.89) 10.94 
CRDOCredo Technology Group(14.01)8 per month 0.00 (0.12) 8.34 (7.23) 23.45 
NOKNokia Corp ADR 0.14 25 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.59 (4.44) 12.63 
SMCISuper Micro Computer(0.55)8 per month 0.00 (0.24) 4.07 (6.43) 14.71 
KEYSKeysight Technologies 3.88 11 per month 1.35  0.19  3.20 (2.83) 13.11 
ASXASE Industrial Holding 0.17 8 per month 1.87  0.22  4.23 (3.59) 13.07 
CIENCiena Corp 7.62 6 per month 3.87  0.14  9.22 (6.53) 23.22 
FIFiserv 0.26 7 per month 0.00 (0.17) 2.30 (3.13) 47.14 
PSTGPure Storage 1.26 10 per month 0.00 (0.10) 4.87 (5.74) 34.28 
SNDKSandisk Corp(0.36)8 per month 5.52  0.28  15.31 (7.88) 35.63 

Other Forecasting Options for Hewlett Packard

For every potential investor in Hewlett, whether a beginner or expert, Hewlett Packard's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hewlett Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hewlett. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hewlett Packard's price trends.

Hewlett Packard Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hewlett Packard stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hewlett Packard could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hewlett Packard by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hewlett Packard Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hewlett Packard stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hewlett Packard shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hewlett Packard stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hewlett Packard Enterprise entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hewlett Packard Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hewlett Packard's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hewlett Packard's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hewlett stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Hewlett Packard

The number of cover stories for Hewlett Packard depends on current market conditions and Hewlett Packard's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hewlett Packard is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hewlett Packard's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Hewlett Packard Short Properties

Hewlett Packard's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hewlett Packard's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hewlett Packard Enterprise often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hewlett Packard's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hewlett Packard's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments5.8 B
When determining whether Hewlett Packard Ente is a strong investment it is important to analyze Hewlett Packard's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Hewlett Packard's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Hewlett Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hewlett Packard to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Will Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals sector continue expanding? Could Hewlett diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hewlett Packard. Market participants price Hewlett higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Hewlett Packard data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.89)
Dividend Share
0.52
Earnings Share
(0.04)
Revenue Per Share
25.903
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.144
The market value of Hewlett Packard Ente is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hewlett that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hewlett Packard's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hewlett Packard's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Hewlett Packard's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hewlett Packard's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hewlett Packard's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hewlett Packard is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Hewlett Packard's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.