Harrow Health Stock Forward View

HROW Stock  USD 41.93  0.66  1.55%   
Harrow Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Harrow Health's share price is approaching 43. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Harrow Health, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 43

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Harrow Health's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Harrow Health and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Harrow Health's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Harrow Health, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Harrow Health's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.64)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.62
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.6167
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.1867
Wall Street Target Price
70.625
Using Harrow Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Harrow Health from the perspective of Harrow Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Harrow Health using Harrow Health's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Harrow using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Harrow Health's stock price.

Harrow Health Short Interest

An investor who is long Harrow Health may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Harrow Health and may potentially protect profits, hedge Harrow Health with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
37.1607
Short Percent
0.1889
Short Ratio
9.5
Shares Short Prior Month
5.5 M
50 Day MA
45.9258

Harrow Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Harrow Health on the next trading day is expected to be 39.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 90.23.

Harrow Health Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Harrow Health's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Harrow. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Harrow can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Harrow Health. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Harrow Health's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Harrow Health.

Harrow Health Implied Volatility

    
  0.86  
Harrow Health's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Harrow Health stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Harrow Health's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Harrow Health stock will not fluctuate a lot when Harrow Health's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Harrow Health on the next trading day is expected to be 39.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 90.23.

Harrow Health after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 41.93  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Harrow Health to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Harrow Stock please use our How to Invest in Harrow Health guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Harrow contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Harrow Health will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0538% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Harrow Health trading at USD 41.93, that is roughly USD 0.0225 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Harrow Health's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Harrow Health options at the current volatility level of 0.86%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Harrow Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Harrow Health's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Harrow Health's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Harrow Health stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Harrow Health's open interest, investors have to compare it to Harrow Health's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Harrow Health is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Harrow. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Harrow Health Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Harrow price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Harrow using various technical indicators. When you analyze Harrow charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Harrow Health's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2006-06-30
Previous Quarter
53 M
Current Value
74.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
24.4 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Harrow Health is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Harrow Health value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Harrow Health Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Harrow Health on the next trading day is expected to be 39.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.46, mean absolute percentage error of 3.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 90.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Harrow Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Harrow Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Harrow Health Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Harrow Health  Harrow Health Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Harrow Health Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Harrow Health's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Harrow Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.86 and 43.71, respectively. We have considered Harrow Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
41.93
39.78
Expected Value
43.71
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Harrow Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Harrow Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.2419
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.4553
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0331
SAESum of the absolute errors90.2256
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Harrow Health. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Harrow Health. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Harrow Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Harrow Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.9841.9345.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.2043.1547.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
41.5548.0354.50
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
64.2770.6278.39
Details

Harrow Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Harrow Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Harrow Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Harrow Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Harrow Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Harrow Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Harrow Health's historical news coverage. Harrow Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.98 and 45.88, respectively. We have considered Harrow Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
41.93
41.93
After-hype Price
45.88
Upside
Harrow Health is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Harrow Health is based on 3 months time horizon.

Harrow Health Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Harrow Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Harrow Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Harrow Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
3.93
  0.04 
  0.04 
14 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 14 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
41.93
41.93
0.00 
3,023  
Notes

Harrow Health Hype Timeline

Harrow Health is currently traded for 41.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Harrow is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on Harrow Health is about 2932.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 41.89. About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.13. Harrow Health had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:5 split on the 8th of February 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 14 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Harrow Health to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Harrow Stock please use our How to Invest in Harrow Health guide.

Harrow Health Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Harrow Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Harrow Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Harrow Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Harrow Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EVOEvotec SE ADR 0.01 5 per month 0.00 (0.04) 5.02 (4.73) 16.10 
TLRYTilray Inc 0.25 10 per month 0.00 (0.09) 7.64 (8.43) 54.17 
DVAXDynavax Technologies 0.25 25 per month 0.56  0.14  2.76 (1.46) 39.08 
AMPHAmphastar P(0.79)9 per month 2.18  0.03  3.98 (3.98) 15.04 
BLFSBioLife Solutions(0.02)19 per month 0.00 (0.14) 3.61 (4.11) 13.90 
COLLCollegium Pharmaceutical(0.13)3 per month 1.76  0.12  4.61 (2.77) 20.06 
KMTSKestra Medical Technologies(0.13)17 per month 0.00 (0.02) 4.59 (7.02) 20.54 
ALVOAlvotech(0.1)12 per month 0.00 (0.09) 7.89 (6.38) 34.63 
TRVITrevi Therapeutics(0.41)9 per month 3.25  0.0005  6.73 (5.94) 25.67 
PHRPhreesia(0.27)10 per month 0.00 (0.22) 2.72 (4.84) 28.56 

Other Forecasting Options for Harrow Health

For every potential investor in Harrow, whether a beginner or expert, Harrow Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Harrow Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Harrow. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Harrow Health's price trends.

Harrow Health Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Harrow Health stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Harrow Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Harrow Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Harrow Health Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Harrow Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Harrow Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Harrow Health stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Harrow Health entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Harrow Health Risk Indicators

The analysis of Harrow Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Harrow Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting harrow stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Harrow Health

The number of cover stories for Harrow Health depends on current market conditions and Harrow Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Harrow Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Harrow Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Harrow Health Short Properties

Harrow Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when Harrow Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Harrow Health often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Harrow Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Harrow Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments47.2 M

Additional Tools for Harrow Stock Analysis

When running Harrow Health's price analysis, check to measure Harrow Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Harrow Health is operating at the current time. Most of Harrow Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Harrow Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Harrow Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Harrow Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.