Horizon Technology Stock Forward View

HRZN Stock  USD 6.70  0.01  0.15%   
Horizon Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Horizon Technology's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Horizon Technology's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Horizon Technology fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Horizon Technology's share price is at 59. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Horizon Technology, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 59

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Horizon Technology's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Horizon Technology Finance, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Horizon Technology's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.417
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.2785
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.1463
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.0326
Wall Street Target Price
6.75
Using Horizon Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Horizon Technology Finance from the perspective of Horizon Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Horizon Technology using Horizon Technology's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Horizon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Horizon Technology's stock price.

Horizon Technology Short Interest

An investor who is long Horizon Technology may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Horizon Technology and may potentially protect profits, hedge Horizon Technology with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
7.034
Short Percent
0.0744
Short Ratio
3.91
Shares Short Prior Month
2.9 M
50 Day MA
6.5788

Horizon Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Horizon Technology Finance on the next trading day is expected to be 6.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.67.

Horizon Technology Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Horizon Technology's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Horizon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Horizon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Horizon Technology Finance. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Horizon Technology's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Horizon Technology.

Horizon Technology Implied Volatility

    
  1.25  
Horizon Technology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Horizon Technology Finance stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Horizon Technology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Horizon Technology stock will not fluctuate a lot when Horizon Technology's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Horizon Technology Finance on the next trading day is expected to be 6.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.67.

Horizon Technology after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 6.71  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Horizon Technology to cross-verify your projections.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Horizon Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Horizon Technology's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Horizon Technology's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Horizon Technology stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Horizon Technology's open interest, investors have to compare it to Horizon Technology's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Horizon Technology is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Horizon. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Horizon Technology Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Horizon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Horizon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Horizon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Horizon Technology Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Horizon Technology's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2009-12-31
Previous Quarter
24.7 M
Current Value
128.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
22.7 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Horizon Technology is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Horizon Technology Finance value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Horizon Technology Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Horizon Technology Finance on the next trading day is expected to be 6.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Horizon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Horizon Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Horizon Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Horizon Technology  Horizon Technology Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Horizon Technology Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Horizon Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Horizon Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.49 and 7.60, respectively. We have considered Horizon Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.70
6.54
Expected Value
7.60
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Horizon Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Horizon Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.8043
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0592
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0092
SAESum of the absolute errors3.6727
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Horizon Technology Finance. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Horizon Technology. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Horizon Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Horizon Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.666.717.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.207.258.30
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
6.146.757.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Horizon Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Horizon Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Horizon Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Horizon Technology.

Horizon Technology After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Horizon Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Horizon Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Horizon Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Horizon Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Horizon Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Horizon Technology's historical news coverage. Horizon Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.66 and 7.76, respectively. We have considered Horizon Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.70
6.71
After-hype Price
7.76
Upside
Horizon Technology is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Horizon Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.

Horizon Technology Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Horizon Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Horizon Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Horizon Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
1.05
  0.01 
 0.00  
9 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.70
6.71
0.15 
1,050  
Notes

Horizon Technology Hype Timeline

Horizon Technology is currently traded for 6.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Horizon is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.71 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Horizon Technology is about 15750.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.70. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 33.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 98.9 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Horizon Technology to cross-verify your projections.

Horizon Technology Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Horizon Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Horizon Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Horizon Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Horizon Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TONXTON Strategy Co 0.56 9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 11.52 (10.10) 31.21 
KOYNCSLM Digital Asset(0.01)2 per month 0.10 (0.39) 0.20 (0.20) 1.10 
MLCIMount Logan Capital 0.22 7 per month 2.49  0.04  4.10 (4.51) 17.11 
STEXStreamex Corp 0.01 11 per month 0.00 (0.09) 10.99 (8.94) 22.87 
LIENChicago Atlantic BDC(0.10)9 per month 1.45  0.02  2.70 (1.71) 7.58 
OACCOaktree Acquisition Corp 0.00 5 per month 0.00 (0.25) 0.38 (0.47) 1.04 
TPVGTriplepoint Venture Growth 0.05 12 per month 1.52  0.08  2.51 (2.58) 8.89 
SSSSSuRo Capital Corp 0.09 17 per month 1.99  0.05  4.27 (3.42) 17.41 
DXYZDestiny Tech100(0.88)10 per month 4.04  0.09  13.50 (8.07) 28.19 

Other Forecasting Options for Horizon Technology

For every potential investor in Horizon, whether a beginner or expert, Horizon Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Horizon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Horizon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Horizon Technology's price trends.

Horizon Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Horizon Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Horizon Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Horizon Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Horizon Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Horizon Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Horizon Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Horizon Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Horizon Technology Finance entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Horizon Technology Risk Indicators

The analysis of Horizon Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Horizon Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting horizon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Horizon Technology

The number of cover stories for Horizon Technology depends on current market conditions and Horizon Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Horizon Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Horizon Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Horizon Technology Short Properties

Horizon Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Horizon Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Horizon Technology Finance often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Horizon Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Horizon Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding36.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments70.3 M
When determining whether Horizon Technology offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Horizon Technology's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Horizon Technology Finance Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Horizon Technology Finance Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Horizon Technology to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Will Asset Management & Custody Banks sector continue expanding? Could Horizon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Horizon Technology. Market participants price Horizon higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Horizon Technology data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.417
Dividend Share
1.32
Earnings Share
(0.63)
Revenue Per Share
2.421
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.071
The market value of Horizon Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Horizon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Horizon Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Horizon Technology's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Horizon Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Horizon Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Horizon Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Horizon Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Horizon Technology's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.