IAC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| IAC Stock | USD 39.46 0.39 0.98% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of IAC Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 40.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.87. IAC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast IAC stock prices and determine the direction of IAC Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of IAC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of IAC's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.89) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5902 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.3487 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.6287 | Wall Street Target Price 46.25 |
Using IAC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of IAC Inc from the perspective of IAC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards IAC using IAC's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards IAC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of IAC's stock price.
IAC Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in IAC's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards IAC. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of IAC stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 36.3188 | Short Percent 0.1512 | Short Ratio 6.89 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.6 M | 50 Day MA 37.0207 |
IAC Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to IAC's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in IAC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding IAC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around IAC Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
IAC Implied Volatility | 0.57 |
IAC's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of IAC Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if IAC's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that IAC stock will not fluctuate a lot when IAC's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of IAC Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 40.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.87. IAC after-hype prediction price | USD 39.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IAC to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current IAC contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that IAC Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0356% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With IAC trading at USD 39.46, that is roughly USD 0.0141 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating IAC's daily price movement you should consider acquiring IAC Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.57%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 IAC Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast IAC's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in IAC's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for IAC stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current IAC's open interest, investors have to compare it to IAC's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of IAC is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in IAC. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
IAC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine IAC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IAC using various technical indicators. When you analyze IAC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
IAC Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the IAC's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1996-06-30 | Previous Quarter 1.1 B | Current Value 1 B | Quarterly Volatility 838.5 M |
IAC Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of IAC Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 40.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54, mean absolute percentage error of 0.47, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.87.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IAC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IAC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
IAC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest IAC | IAC Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
IAC Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting IAC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IAC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 39.09 and 42.26, respectively. We have considered IAC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IAC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IAC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.365 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5389 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0152 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 32.8712 |
Predictive Modules for IAC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IAC Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.IAC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of IAC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IAC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of IAC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
IAC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting IAC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IAC's historical news coverage. IAC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.30 and 41.46, respectively. We have considered IAC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
IAC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of IAC Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
IAC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as IAC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IAC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IAC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 1.58 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 12 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
39.46 | 39.88 | 0.08 |
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IAC Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January IAC Inc is traded for 39.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. IAC is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 39.88 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on IAC is about 3950.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.45. The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.81 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (533.33 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.73 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IAC to cross-verify your projections.IAC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to IAC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IAC's future price movements. Getting to know how IAC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IAC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WB | Weibo Corp | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.13 | (2.35) | 9.22 | |
| GENI | Genius Sports | (0.33) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.45 | (4.52) | 18.19 | |
| DOYU | DouYu International Holdings | (0.26) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.58 | (3.41) | 11.18 | |
| JOYY | JOYY Inc | 0.80 | 10 per month | 1.51 | 0.10 | 3.58 | (2.70) | 10.63 | |
| YELP | Yelp Inc | (0.23) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.45 | (3.53) | 12.51 | |
| SPHR | Sphere Entertainment Co | (0.85) | 10 per month | 1.15 | 0.29 | 5.49 | (2.63) | 11.26 | |
| NN | Nextnav Acquisition Corp | (0.25) | 8 per month | 2.90 | 0.12 | 6.53 | (5.45) | 14.69 | |
| KYIV | Kyivstar Group Ltd | 0.17 | 9 per month | 3.21 | (0.02) | 7.07 | (5.61) | 18.64 | |
| MGNI | Magnite | 0.58 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.42 | (5.69) | 17.46 | |
| BATRA | Atlanta Braves Holdings | (0.08) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.15 | (1.56) | 3.94 |
Other Forecasting Options for IAC
For every potential investor in IAC, whether a beginner or expert, IAC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IAC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IAC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IAC's price trends.IAC Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IAC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IAC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IAC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
IAC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IAC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IAC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IAC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify IAC Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 10030.23 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.49) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 39.74 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 39.65 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.48) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.39) |
IAC Risk Indicators
The analysis of IAC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IAC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting iac stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.55 | |||
| Variance | 2.41 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.56 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.74 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.34) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for IAC
The number of cover stories for IAC depends on current market conditions and IAC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IAC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IAC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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IAC Short Properties
IAC's future price predictability will typically decrease when IAC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of IAC Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential IAC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IAC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IAC to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of IAC. If investors know IAC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about IAC listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.89) | Earnings Share (2.51) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) | Return On Assets |
The market value of IAC Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IAC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IAC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IAC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IAC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IAC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IAC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IAC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IAC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.