IAC Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

IAC Stock  USD 48.56  0.09  0.19%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IAC Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 48.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.96. IAC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast IAC stock prices and determine the direction of IAC Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of IAC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, IAC's Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 124.2 M, whereas Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is forecasted to decline to about 251.9 M.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for IAC works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

IAC Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IAC Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 48.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90, mean absolute percentage error of 1.92, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IAC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IAC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

IAC Stock Forecast Pattern

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IAC Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting IAC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IAC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 46.13 and 50.88, respectively. We have considered IAC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
48.56
48.51
Expected Value
50.88
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IAC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IAC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.178
MADMean absolute deviation0.8994
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0176
SAESum of the absolute errors53.9636
When IAC Inc prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any IAC Inc trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent IAC observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for IAC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IAC Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.7248.0850.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.7056.2458.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
43.6548.7553.85
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
71.1378.1786.77
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as IAC. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against IAC's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, IAC's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in IAC Inc.

Other Forecasting Options for IAC

For every potential investor in IAC, whether a beginner or expert, IAC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IAC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IAC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IAC's price trends.

View IAC Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

IAC Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of IAC's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of IAC's current price.

IAC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IAC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IAC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IAC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify IAC Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

IAC Risk Indicators

The analysis of IAC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IAC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting iac stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether IAC Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of IAC's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Iac Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Iac Inc Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IAC to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of IAC. If investors know IAC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about IAC listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.89)
Earnings Share
(0.39)
Revenue Per Share
46.682
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.15)
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of IAC Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IAC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IAC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IAC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IAC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IAC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IAC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IAC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IAC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.