IShares Insurance Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

IAK Etf  USD 134.97  1.04  0.76%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of iShares Insurance ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 134.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.80. IShares Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The relative strength momentum indicator of IShares Insurance's share price is at 50. This usually indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling IShares Insurance, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of IShares Insurance's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with iShares Insurance ETF, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using IShares Insurance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of iShares Insurance ETF from the perspective of IShares Insurance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards IShares Insurance using IShares Insurance's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards IShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of IShares Insurance's stock price.

IShares Insurance Implied Volatility

    
  0.24  
IShares Insurance's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of iShares Insurance ETF stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if IShares Insurance's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that IShares Insurance stock will not fluctuate a lot when IShares Insurance's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of iShares Insurance ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 134.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.80.

IShares Insurance after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 136.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IShares Insurance to cross-verify your projections.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 IShares Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast IShares Insurance's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in IShares Insurance's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for IShares Insurance stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current IShares Insurance's open interest, investors have to compare it to IShares Insurance's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of IShares Insurance is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in IShares. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

IShares Insurance Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine IShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze IShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
IShares Insurance simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for iShares Insurance ETF are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as iShares Insurance ETF prices get older.

IShares Insurance Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of iShares Insurance ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 134.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88, mean absolute percentage error of 1.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.80.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IShares Insurance's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

IShares Insurance Etf Forecast Pattern

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IShares Insurance Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting IShares Insurance's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IShares Insurance's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 134.03 and 135.91, respectively. We have considered IShares Insurance's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
134.97
134.03
Downside
134.97
Expected Value
135.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IShares Insurance etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IShares Insurance etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.6733
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0287
MADMean absolute deviation0.88
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0067
SAESum of the absolute errors52.8
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting iShares Insurance ETF forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent IShares Insurance observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for IShares Insurance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iShares Insurance ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
135.10136.04136.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
133.92134.86149.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
131.49135.63139.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as IShares Insurance. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against IShares Insurance's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, IShares Insurance's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in iShares Insurance ETF.

Other Forecasting Options for IShares Insurance

For every potential investor in IShares, whether a beginner or expert, IShares Insurance's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IShares Insurance's price trends.

IShares Insurance Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IShares Insurance etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IShares Insurance could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IShares Insurance by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

iShares Insurance ETF Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of IShares Insurance's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of IShares Insurance's current price.

IShares Insurance Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IShares Insurance etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IShares Insurance shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IShares Insurance etf market strength indicators, traders can identify iShares Insurance ETF entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

IShares Insurance Risk Indicators

The analysis of IShares Insurance's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IShares Insurance's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ishares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether iShares Insurance ETF is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if IShares Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Ishares Insurance Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Ishares Insurance Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IShares Insurance to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
The market value of iShares Insurance ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IShares Insurance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IShares Insurance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IShares Insurance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IShares Insurance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IShares Insurance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IShares Insurance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IShares Insurance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.