Independent Bank Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Independent Bank Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Independent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Independent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Independent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Triple exponential smoothing for Independent Bank - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Independent Bank prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Independent Bank price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Independent Bank.

Independent Bank Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Independent Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 36.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.81.

Independent Bank Stock Forecast Pattern

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Independent Bank Price Prediction

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Independent Bank Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Independent Bank stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Independent Bank stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Independent Bank observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Independent Bank observations.

Predictive Modules for Independent Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Independent Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 35.57 37.15 38.73 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 34.13 35.71 37.29 Details

Independent Bank After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Independent Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Independent Bank Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Independent Bank Hype Timeline

Independent Bank is currently traded for 36.66. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Independent is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 37.15 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 1.42%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Independent Bank is about 8666.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.65. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 315.38 M. Net Income was 66.79 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 219.52 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Independent Bank to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Independent Stock, please use our How to Invest in Independent Bank guide.

Independent Bank Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Independent Bank

For every potential investor in Independent, whether a beginner or expert, Independent Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Independent Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Independent. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Independent Bank's price trends.

Independent Bank Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Independent Bank Market Strength Events

Independent Bank Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Independent Bank

Independent Bank Short Properties

Additional Tools for Independent Stock Analysis