IDACORP Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| IDA Stock | USD 144.26 2.87 2.03% |
IDACORP Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast IDACORP stock prices and determine the direction of IDACORP's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of IDACORP's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of IDACORP's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using IDACORP hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of IDACORP from the perspective of IDACORP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IDACORP on the next trading day is expected to be 145.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.41. IDACORP after-hype prediction price | USD 144.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IDACORP to cross-verify your projections. IDACORP Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine IDACORP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IDACORP using various technical indicators. When you analyze IDACORP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
IDACORP Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IDACORP on the next trading day is expected to be 145.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.14, mean absolute percentage error of 1.91, and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IDACORP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IDACORP's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
IDACORP Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest IDACORP | IDACORP Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
IDACORP Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting IDACORP's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IDACORP's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 144.72 and 146.76, respectively. We have considered IDACORP's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IDACORP stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IDACORP stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.258 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1426 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0088 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 67.4143 |
Predictive Modules for IDACORP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IDACORP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IDACORP's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
IDACORP After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of IDACORP at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IDACORP or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of IDACORP, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
IDACORP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting IDACORP's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IDACORP's historical news coverage. IDACORP's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 143.27 and 145.31, respectively. We have considered IDACORP's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
IDACORP is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of IDACORP is based on 3 months time horizon.
IDACORP Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as IDACORP is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IDACORP backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IDACORP, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 1.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
144.26 | 144.29 | 0.05 |
|
IDACORP Hype Timeline
On the 16th of February 2026 IDACORP is traded for 144.26. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. IDACORP is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 144.29 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on IDACORP is about 1088.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 144.28. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.83 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 289.95 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 610.37 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IDACORP to cross-verify your projections.IDACORP Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to IDACORP's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IDACORP's future price movements. Getting to know how IDACORP's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IDACORP may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| POR | Portland General Electric | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.62 | 0.12 | 1.55 | (1.23) | 4.87 | |
| TXNM | TXNM Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 0.43 | (0.28) | 1.18 | |
| MGEE | MGE Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.12 | (0.04) | 1.64 | (1.66) | 4.52 | |
| CMS | CMS Energy | 0.75 | 6 per month | 1.02 | (0.01) | 1.32 | (1.37) | 4.08 | |
| OGE | OGE Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.77 | 0.06 | 1.44 | (1.37) | 3.45 | |
| AVA | Avista | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.16 | 0.04 | 1.63 | (1.83) | 4.20 | |
| BKH | Black Hills | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.16 | 0.02 | 1.91 | (1.98) | 6.52 | |
| ALE | Allete Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.42 | (0.21) | 0.47 |
Other Forecasting Options for IDACORP
For every potential investor in IDACORP, whether a beginner or expert, IDACORP's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IDACORP Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IDACORP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IDACORP's price trends.IDACORP Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IDACORP stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IDACORP could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IDACORP by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
IDACORP Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IDACORP stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IDACORP shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IDACORP stock market strength indicators, traders can identify IDACORP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
IDACORP Risk Indicators
The analysis of IDACORP's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IDACORP's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting idacorp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.771 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7773 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Variance | 1.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6041 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for IDACORP
The number of cover stories for IDACORP depends on current market conditions and IDACORP's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IDACORP is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IDACORP's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
IDACORP Short Properties
IDACORP's future price predictability will typically decrease when IDACORP's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of IDACORP often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential IDACORP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IDACORP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 368.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IDACORP to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade IDACORP Stock refer to our How to Trade IDACORP Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of IDACORP. Market participants price IDACORP higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive IDACORP assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Understanding IDACORP requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects IDACORP's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what IDACORP's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push IDACORP's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IDACORP's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IDACORP is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, IDACORP's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.