IHeartMedia Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| IHRT Stock | USD 3.64 0.21 5.45% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of iHeartMedia Class A on the next trading day is expected to be 3.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.43. IHeartMedia Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of IHeartMedia's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.531 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2014 | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.69) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.456 | Wall Street Target Price 4.25 |
Using IHeartMedia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of iHeartMedia Class A from the perspective of IHeartMedia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards IHeartMedia using IHeartMedia's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards IHeartMedia using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of IHeartMedia's stock price.
IHeartMedia Short Interest
An investor who is long IHeartMedia may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about IHeartMedia and may potentially protect profits, hedge IHeartMedia with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 2.5351 | Short Percent 0.0717 | Short Ratio 4.98 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.7 M | 50 Day MA 4.1315 |
iHeartMedia Class Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to IHeartMedia's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in IHeartMedia. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding IHeartMedia can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around iHeartMedia Class A. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
IHeartMedia Implied Volatility | 1.33 |
IHeartMedia's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of iHeartMedia Class A stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if IHeartMedia's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that IHeartMedia stock will not fluctuate a lot when IHeartMedia's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of iHeartMedia Class A on the next trading day is expected to be 3.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.43. IHeartMedia after-hype prediction price | USD 3.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 IHeartMedia Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast IHeartMedia's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in IHeartMedia's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for IHeartMedia stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current IHeartMedia's open interest, investors have to compare it to IHeartMedia's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of IHeartMedia is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in IHeartMedia. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
IHeartMedia Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine IHeartMedia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IHeartMedia using various technical indicators. When you analyze IHeartMedia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
IHeartMedia Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of iHeartMedia Class A on the next trading day is expected to be 3.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.43.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IHeartMedia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IHeartMedia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
IHeartMedia Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest IHeartMedia | IHeartMedia Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
IHeartMedia Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting IHeartMedia's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IHeartMedia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 9.99, respectively. We have considered IHeartMedia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IHeartMedia stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IHeartMedia stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.2695 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0065 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1405 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.034 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.43 |
Predictive Modules for IHeartMedia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iHeartMedia Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.IHeartMedia After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of IHeartMedia at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IHeartMedia or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of IHeartMedia, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
IHeartMedia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting IHeartMedia's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IHeartMedia's historical news coverage. IHeartMedia's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.19 and 10.16, respectively. We have considered IHeartMedia's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
IHeartMedia is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of iHeartMedia Class is based on 3 months time horizon.
IHeartMedia Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as IHeartMedia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IHeartMedia backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IHeartMedia, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 6.35 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.64 | 3.85 | 0.00 |
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IHeartMedia Hype Timeline
iHeartMedia Class is currently traded for 3.64. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. IHeartMedia is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.36%. %. The volatility of related hype on IHeartMedia is about 11759.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.66. About 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.58. iHeartMedia Class had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IHeartMedia to cross-verify your projections.IHeartMedia Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to IHeartMedia's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IHeartMedia's future price movements. Getting to know how IHeartMedia's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IHeartMedia may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AMCX | AMC Networks | 0.42 | 11 per month | 2.00 | 0.04 | 4.07 | (3.04) | 13.26 | |
| EVC | Entravision Communications | 0.01 | 20 per month | 1.40 | 0.14 | 5.93 | (3.20) | 48.82 | |
| GTN | Gray Television | 0.26 | 11 per month | 2.85 | (0.03) | 4.91 | (4.53) | 13.88 | |
| TTGT | TechTarget Common Stock | 0.55 | 13 per month | 3.12 | 0.01 | 5.93 | (5.21) | 15.02 | |
| UPXI | Upexi Inc | 0.14 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 11.51 | (11.01) | 30.97 | |
| CURI | Curiositystream | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.53 | (6.20) | 33.31 | |
| ZH | Zhihu Inc ADR | (0.09) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.10 | (4.82) | 21.72 | |
| SSP | E W Scripps | (0.24) | 12 per month | 3.72 | 0.12 | 7.52 | (6.60) | 53.49 | |
| AENT | Alliance Entertainment Holding | (0.49) | 10 per month | 3.11 | 0.10 | 9.06 | (5.13) | 25.74 | |
| NCMI | National CineMedia | (0.05) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.00 | (3.74) | 15.70 |
Other Forecasting Options for IHeartMedia
For every potential investor in IHeartMedia, whether a beginner or expert, IHeartMedia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IHeartMedia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IHeartMedia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IHeartMedia's price trends.IHeartMedia Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IHeartMedia stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IHeartMedia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IHeartMedia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
IHeartMedia Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IHeartMedia stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IHeartMedia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IHeartMedia stock market strength indicators, traders can identify iHeartMedia Class A entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
IHeartMedia Risk Indicators
The analysis of IHeartMedia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IHeartMedia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting iheartmedia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.77 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.95 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.25 | |||
| Variance | 39.12 | |||
| Downside Variance | 10.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.71 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.32) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for IHeartMedia
The number of cover stories for IHeartMedia depends on current market conditions and IHeartMedia's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IHeartMedia is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IHeartMedia's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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IHeartMedia Short Properties
IHeartMedia's future price predictability will typically decrease when IHeartMedia's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of iHeartMedia Class A often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential IHeartMedia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IHeartMedia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 151.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 259.6 M |
Additional Tools for IHeartMedia Stock Analysis
When running IHeartMedia's price analysis, check to measure IHeartMedia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IHeartMedia is operating at the current time. Most of IHeartMedia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IHeartMedia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IHeartMedia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IHeartMedia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.