Invesco Value Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| IIM Stock | USD 12.29 0.09 0.74% |
Invesco Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Invesco Value's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Invesco Value's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Invesco Value fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Invesco Value's share price is approaching 49. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Invesco Value, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.87) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.007 |
Using Invesco Value hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Invesco Value Municipal from the perspective of Invesco Value response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Invesco Value Municipal on the next trading day is expected to be 12.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.85. Invesco Value after-hype prediction price | USD 12.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Invesco Value to cross-verify your projections. Invesco Value Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Invesco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Invesco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Invesco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Invesco Value Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Invesco Value's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 21.1 M | Current Value 22.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 9.2 M |
Invesco Value Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Invesco Value Municipal on the next trading day is expected to be 12.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.85.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Invesco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Invesco Value's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Invesco Value Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Invesco Value | Invesco Value Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Invesco Value Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Invesco Value's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Invesco Value's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.38 and 12.69, respectively. We have considered Invesco Value's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Invesco Value stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Invesco Value stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.2906 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0783 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0064 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.853 |
Predictive Modules for Invesco Value
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Value Municipal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Invesco Value After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Invesco Value at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Invesco Value or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Invesco Value, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Invesco Value Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Invesco Value's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Invesco Value's historical news coverage. Invesco Value's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.63 and 12.95, respectively. We have considered Invesco Value's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Invesco Value is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Invesco Value Municipal is based on 3 months time horizon.
Invesco Value Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Invesco Value is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Invesco Value backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Invesco Value, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.29 | 12.29 | 0.00 |
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Invesco Value Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January Invesco Value Municipal is traded for 12.29. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Invesco is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Invesco Value is about 5500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.29. About 18.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.01. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Invesco Value Municipal recorded a loss per share of 0.58. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of January 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Invesco Value to cross-verify your projections.Invesco Value Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Invesco Value's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Invesco Value's future price movements. Getting to know how Invesco Value's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Invesco Value may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IQI | Invesco Quality Municipal | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.29 | (0.17) | 0.70 | (0.61) | 1.71 | |
| VCV | Invesco California Value | (0.11) | 6 per month | 0.78 | (0.02) | 1.53 | (1.55) | 3.42 | |
| VGM | Invesco Trust For | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.42 | (0.11) | 0.60 | (0.60) | 2.24 | |
| VKQ | Invesco Municipal Trust | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.43 | (0.17) | 0.73 | (0.73) | 2.01 | |
| VMO | Invesco Municipal Opportunity | 0.03 | 6 per month | 0.32 | (0.15) | 0.64 | (0.53) | 1.90 | |
| VVR | Invesco Senior Income | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.41 | (0.02) | 0.94 | (0.94) | 3.11 | |
| VKI | Invesco Advantage MIT | (0.06) | 1 per month | 0.48 | (0.11) | 0.99 | (0.91) | 2.55 | |
| BIT | Blackrock Multi Sector | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.27 | (0.09) | 0.62 | (0.55) | 1.56 | |
| HAFCX | The Hartford Balanced | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.20 | (0.11) | 0.50 | (0.45) | 1.43 | |
| ITTAX | The Hartford Balanced | 0.07 | 1 per month | 0.20 | (0.1) | 0.46 | (0.46) | 1.40 |
Other Forecasting Options for Invesco Value
For every potential investor in Invesco, whether a beginner or expert, Invesco Value's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Invesco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Invesco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Invesco Value's price trends.Invesco Value Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Invesco Value stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Invesco Value could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Invesco Value by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Invesco Value Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Invesco Value stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Invesco Value shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Invesco Value stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Invesco Value Municipal entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Invesco Value Risk Indicators
The analysis of Invesco Value's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Invesco Value's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting invesco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4399 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6333 | |||
| Variance | 0.401 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Invesco Value
The number of cover stories for Invesco Value depends on current market conditions and Invesco Value's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Invesco Value is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Invesco Value's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Invesco Value to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Invesco Value. If investors know Invesco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Invesco Value listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.87) | Dividend Share 0.926 | Earnings Share (0.58) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.007 |
The market value of Invesco Value Municipal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Invesco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Invesco Value's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Invesco Value's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Invesco Value's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Invesco Value's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Value's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Value is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Value's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.