Invesco Value Municipal Stock Price Prediction

IIM Stock  USD 12.37  0.01  0.08%   
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Invesco Value's share price is approaching 48. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Invesco Value, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

48

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Invesco Value's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Invesco Value and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Invesco Value's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Invesco Value Municipal, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Invesco Value's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.102
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Using Invesco Value hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Invesco Value Municipal from the perspective of Invesco Value response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Invesco Value to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Invesco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Invesco Value after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.37  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Invesco Value Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.9312.4212.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.8512.3412.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.1812.3212.46
Details

Invesco Value After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Invesco Value at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Invesco Value or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Invesco Value, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Invesco Value Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Invesco Value's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Invesco Value's historical news coverage. Invesco Value's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.88 and 12.86, respectively. We have considered Invesco Value's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.37
12.37
After-hype Price
12.86
Upside
Invesco Value is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Invesco Value Municipal is based on 3 months time horizon.

Invesco Value Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Invesco Value is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Invesco Value backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Invesco Value, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
0.49
 0.00  
 0.00  
2 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.37
12.37
0.00 
445.45  
Notes

Invesco Value Hype Timeline

On the 27th of November Invesco Value Municipal is traded for 12.37. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Invesco is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Invesco Value is about 2603.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.37. About 24.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.91. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Invesco Value Municipal last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Invesco Value Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Invesco Value Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Invesco Value's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Invesco Value's future price movements. Getting to know how Invesco Value's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Invesco Value may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
OIAInvesco Municipal Income(0.04)2 per month 0.69 (0.12) 1.33 (1.32) 3.28 
KTFDWS Municipal Income(0.06)5 per month 0.48 (0.11) 1.12 (0.61) 3.40 
MFMMFS Municipal Income 0.02 4 per month 0.54 (0.21) 0.89 (1.06) 2.71 
CXEMFS High Income 0.06 4 per month 0.00 (0.22) 1.33 (1.04) 3.34 
MYDBlackrock Muniyield(0.02)3 per month 0.56 (0.17) 1.08 (1.06) 2.65 
IQIInvesco Quality Municipal 0.01 1 per month 0.53 (0.24) 0.79 (0.70) 2.30 
CMUMFS High Yield(0.01)6 per month 0.44 (0.19) 0.85 (0.84) 2.54 
MHDBlackrock Muniholdings Closed 0.11 3 per month 0.72 (0.17) 0.88 (1.14) 3.11 
DTFDTF Tax Free(0.04)3 per month 0.23 (0.36) 0.54 (0.36) 1.96 
JHSJohn Hancock Income(0.19)2 per month 0.41 (0.27) 0.78 (0.61) 3.04 
CXHMFS Investment Grade 0.02 5 per month 0.42 (0.27) 0.62 (0.74) 2.10 
CBHCBH 0.01 1 per month 0.00 (0.51) 0.22 (0.22) 0.78 
MQTBlackrock Muniyield Quality(0.03)4 per month 0.59 (0.23) 0.87 (0.92) 2.73 
NMCONuveen Municipal Credit(0.14)2 per month 0.00 (0.21) 1.04 (1.35) 3.99 
MVFMunivest Fund 0.03 3 per month 0.00 (0.21) 0.83 (1.09) 2.81 
MQYBlackrock Muniyield Quality(0.02)2 per month 0.60 (0.23) 0.85 (1.07) 2.74 
MUEBlackrock Muniholdings Quality(0.03)2 per month 0.50 (0.15) 0.86 (0.77) 2.47 

Invesco Value Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Invesco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Invesco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Invesco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Invesco Value Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Invesco Value stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Invesco Value Municipal, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Invesco Value based on analysis of Invesco Value hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Invesco Value's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Invesco Value's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
PTB Ratio0.871.03
Dividend Yield0.04550.0548

Story Coverage note for Invesco Value

The number of cover stories for Invesco Value depends on current market conditions and Invesco Value's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Invesco Value is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Invesco Value's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Invesco Value Short Properties

Invesco Value's future price predictability will typically decrease when Invesco Value's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Invesco Value Municipal often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Invesco Value's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Invesco Value's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18.3 M
When determining whether Invesco Value Municipal is a strong investment it is important to analyze Invesco Value's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Invesco Value's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Invesco Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Invesco Value Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Invesco Value. If investors know Invesco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Invesco Value listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.102
Dividend Share
0.649
Earnings Share
1.17
Revenue Per Share
0.941
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of Invesco Value Municipal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Invesco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Invesco Value's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Invesco Value's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Invesco Value's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Invesco Value's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Value's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Value is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Value's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.