Imperial Oil Stock Forward View - Relative Strength Index
| IMO Stock | USD 106.86 4.04 3.93% |
Imperial Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Imperial Oil's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Imperial Oil's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Imperial Oil fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Imperial Oil's stock price is about 66. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Imperial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.58) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.4014 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.7287 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.3048 | Wall Street Target Price 67.4737 |
Using Imperial Oil hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Imperial Oil from the perspective of Imperial Oil response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Imperial Oil using Imperial Oil's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Imperial using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Imperial Oil's stock price.
Imperial Oil Short Interest
An investor who is long Imperial Oil may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Imperial Oil and may potentially protect profits, hedge Imperial Oil with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 85.2923 | Short Percent 0.1281 | Short Ratio 26.92 | Shares Short Prior Month 19.8 M | 50 Day MA 93.5262 |
Imperial Relative Strength Index
Imperial Oil Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Imperial Oil's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Imperial. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Imperial can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Imperial Oil. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Imperial Oil's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Imperial Oil.
Imperial Oil Implied Volatility | 0.4 |
Imperial Oil's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Imperial Oil stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Imperial Oil's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Imperial Oil stock will not fluctuate a lot when Imperial Oil's options are near their expiration.
Imperial Oil after-hype prediction price | USD 107.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Imperial Oil to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Imperial contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Imperial Oil will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.025% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Imperial Oil trading at USD 106.86, that is roughly USD 0.0267 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Imperial Oil's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Imperial Oil options at the current volatility level of 0.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Imperial Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Imperial Oil's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Imperial Oil's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Imperial Oil stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Imperial Oil's open interest, investors have to compare it to Imperial Oil's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Imperial Oil is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Imperial. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Imperial Oil Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Imperial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Imperial using various technical indicators. When you analyze Imperial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Relative Strength Index | Relative Strength Index | Trend |
| 66.24 | 66.24 |
| Check Imperial Oil Volatility | Backtest Imperial Oil | Information Ratio |
Imperial Oil Trading Date Momentum
| On February 04 2026 Imperial Oil was traded for 106.86 at the closing time. Highest Imperial Oil's price during the trading hours was 106.86 and the lowest price during the day was 102.82 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 4th of February did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 3.78% . |
| Compare Imperial Oil to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Imperial Oil
For every potential investor in Imperial, whether a beginner or expert, Imperial Oil's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Imperial Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Imperial. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Imperial Oil's price trends.Imperial Oil Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Imperial Oil stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Imperial Oil could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Imperial Oil by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Imperial Oil Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Imperial Oil stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Imperial Oil shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Imperial Oil stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Imperial Oil entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Imperial Oil Risk Indicators
The analysis of Imperial Oil's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Imperial Oil's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting imperial stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.79 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Variance | 3.62 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.12 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.2 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.52) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Imperial Oil
The number of cover stories for Imperial Oil depends on current market conditions and Imperial Oil's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Imperial Oil is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Imperial Oil's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Imperial Oil to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Imperial Stock, please use our How to Invest in Imperial Oil guide.You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Will Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector continue expanding? Could Imperial diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Imperial Oil. Market participants price Imperial higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Imperial Oil data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.58) | Dividend Share 2.88 | Earnings Share 4.75 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) |
Imperial Oil's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Imperial's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Imperial Oil's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Imperial Oil's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Imperial Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Imperial Oil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Imperial Oil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.