ChipMOS Technologies Stock Forward View - 20 Period Moving Average
| IMOS Stock | USD 45.61 -0.16 -0.35% |
The 20 Period Moving Average output for ChipMOS Technologies is derived from daily price data across the evaluation window. The error pattern reveals whether the model tracked prices consistently or diverged during volatile sessions. Parameters are re-estimated as new trading sessions are recorded, keeping the forecast current. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate a tighter fit to recent price behavior. The 20 Period Moving Average model projects ChipMOS Technologies at 41.68 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. ChipMOS Technologies's 20 Period Moving Average forecast is intended for short-term analytical reference.
20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of April
Over a 90-day horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average model forecasts ChipMOS Technologies at 41.68 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 3.13 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.07 , and sum of absolute errors of 128.34 .This indicates moderate forecast accuracy — the model captures the general trend but not all short-term variation in ChipMOS Technologies' price. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ChipMOS Technologies | ChipMOS Technologies Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast range for ChipMOS Technologies defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. The model places downside around 36.97 and upside around 46.40 for the next session. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 20 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for ChipMOS Technologies stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 84.2014 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.8618 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.1303 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0735 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 128.341 |
Other Forecasting Options for ChipMOS Technologies
Relative Strength Index values for ChipMOS measure the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. Recognizing these clusters in ChipMOS Technologies' returns informs position size and stop-loss calibration. Candlestick pattern analysis of ChipMOS Stock daily data reveals short-term reversal or continuation signals. Identifying these patterns in ChipMOS Stock data supports better trade timing.ChipMOS Technologies Related Equities
These stocks within the Information Technology space are often compared to ChipMOS Technologies by analysts and fund managers in the sector. Return on equity across these peers shows how well each firm turns capital into profit.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ChipMOS Technologies Market Strength Events
Accumulation/Distribution and Balance of Power for ChipMOS Technologies reveal whether buying or selling pressure dominates recent sessions. Balance of Power trending positive indicates that buyers are consistently closing ChipMOS Technologies near session highs. These signals help explain whether price direction and session structure are moving together for ChipMOS Technologies. Combine market strength readings with the price and volatility measures above for a more complete analytical picture of ChipMOS Technologies.
ChipMOS Technologies Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for ChipMOS Technologies quantifies how much price variability the stock has exhibited over the measurement window. Downside variance exceeding total variance indicates that negative moves in ChipMOS Technologies have been larger or more frequent than positive ones. Mean deviation provides a more intuitive measure of typical price fluctuation than variance because it stays in the same units as ChipMOS Technologies' price. Elevated expected shortfall for ChipMOS Technologies suggests that tail-risk hedging may be more important than average-case optimization.
| Mean Deviation | 3.28 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.61 | |||
| Variance | 21.24 | |||
| Downside Variance | 19.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 17.83 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -3.39 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
ChipMOS Technologies Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to ChipMOS Technologies matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. This is applicable when the question is whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.9 B |