Imperial Petroleum Preferred Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

A naive forecasting model for Imperial Petroleum is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Imperial Petroleum Preferred value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Imperial Petroleum Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Imperial Petroleum Preferred on the next trading day is expected to be 25.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.14.

Imperial Petroleum Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

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Imperial Petroleum Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

Imperial Petroleum Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Imperial Petroleum preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Imperial Petroleum preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Imperial Petroleum Preferred. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Imperial Petroleum. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Imperial Petroleum

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Imperial Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 24.40 25.30 26.20 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 22.77 28.94 29.84 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 24.71 25.12 25.52 Details

Other Forecasting Options for Imperial Petroleum

For every potential investor in Imperial, whether a beginner or expert, Imperial Petroleum's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Imperial Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Imperial. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Imperial Petroleum's price trends.

Imperial Petroleum Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Imperial Petroleum Technical and Predictive Analytics

The preferred stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Imperial Petroleum's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Imperial Petroleum's current price.

Imperial Petroleum Market Strength Events

Imperial Petroleum Risk Indicators

Pair Trading with Imperial Petroleum

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Imperial Petroleum position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Imperial Petroleum will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Additional Tools for Imperial Preferred Stock Analysis