Smart Sand Stock Price Prediction
| SND Stock | USD 2.32 0.03 1.31% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
73
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.931 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.03 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.07 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.19 | Wall Street Target Price 3 |
Using Smart Sand hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Smart Sand from the perspective of Smart Sand response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Smart Sand to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Smart because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Smart Sand after-hype prediction price | USD 2.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Smart |
Smart Sand After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Smart Sand at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Smart Sand or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Smart Sand, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Smart Sand Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Smart Sand's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Smart Sand's historical news coverage. Smart Sand's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 5.86, respectively. We have considered Smart Sand's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Smart Sand is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Smart Sand is based on 3 months time horizon.
Smart Sand Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Smart Sand is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Smart Sand backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Smart Sand, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 3.51 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.32 | 2.35 | 1.29 |
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Smart Sand Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November Smart Sand is traded for 2.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Smart is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.35 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 1.29%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Smart Sand is about 3900.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.29. The company reported the last year's revenue of 295.97 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 4.65 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 29.59 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Smart Sand Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Smart Sand Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Smart Sand's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Smart Sand's future price movements. Getting to know how Smart Sand's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Smart Sand may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NEX | Nextier Oilfield Solutions | 0.29 | 3 per month | 2.99 | 0.13 | 6.33 | (4.55) | 17.50 | |
| LBRT | Liberty Oilfield Services | (0.97) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.44 | (4.06) | 14.45 | |
| RES | RPC Inc | (0.06) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.29 | (4.55) | 14.14 | |
| MRC | MRC Global | 0.59 | 8 per month | 1.52 | 0.04 | 3.28 | (2.94) | 18.83 | |
| RNGR | Ranger Energy Services | (0.47) | 6 per month | 1.17 | 0.25 | 3.56 | (2.21) | 7.27 | |
| NR | Newpark Resources | 0.35 | 6 per month | 2.11 | (0.04) | 3.73 | (3.89) | 13.55 | |
| PUMP | ProPetro Holding Corp | (0.70) | 9 per month | 2.95 | (0) | 5.25 | (4.78) | 21.85 | |
| OIS | Oil States International | (0.05) | 9 per month | 2.68 | 0.01 | 5.26 | (4.37) | 15.23 | |
| SOI | Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure | (0.26) | 10 per month | 2.11 | 0.09 | 4.44 | (4.19) | 43.08 | |
| DRQ | Dril Quip | 0.19 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.57 | (4.30) | 12.98 | |
| EFXT | Enerflex | 0.01 | 8 per month | 1.15 | 0.32 | 4.56 | (2.72) | 8.19 | |
| CCLP | CSI Compressco LP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 8.11 | (4.35) | 17.49 |
Smart Sand Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Smart price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Smart using various technical indicators. When you analyze Smart charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Smart Sand Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Smart Sand stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Smart Sand, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Smart Sand based on analysis of Smart Sand hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Smart Sand's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Smart Sand's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 16.81 | 15.67 | 15.86 | 14.7 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 38.47 | 32.58 | 38.48 | 69.06 |
Story Coverage note for Smart Sand
The number of cover stories for Smart Sand depends on current market conditions and Smart Sand's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Smart Sand is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Smart Sand's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Smart Sand Short Properties
Smart Sand's future price predictability will typically decrease when Smart Sand's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Smart Sand often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Smart Sand's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Smart Sand's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Smart Stock analysis
When running Smart Sand's price analysis, check to measure Smart Sand's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Smart Sand is operating at the current time. Most of Smart Sand's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Smart Sand's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Smart Sand's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Smart Sand to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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