INLIF LIMITED Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

INLF Stock   0.51  0.01  1.92%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of INLIF LIMITED Ordinary on the next trading day is expected to be 0.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.06. INLIF Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of INLIF LIMITED's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, INLIF LIMITED's Payables Turnover is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The INLIF LIMITED's current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 5.46, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 1.37. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 11.6 M.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for INLIF LIMITED works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

INLIF LIMITED Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of INLIF LIMITED Ordinary on the next trading day is expected to be 0.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.06.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict INLIF Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that INLIF LIMITED's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

INLIF LIMITED Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest INLIF LIMITEDINLIF LIMITED Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

INLIF LIMITED Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting INLIF LIMITED's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. INLIF LIMITED's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.06, respectively. We have considered INLIF LIMITED's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.51
0.50
Expected Value
4.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of INLIF LIMITED stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent INLIF LIMITED stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0042
MADMean absolute deviation0.0177
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.027
SAESum of the absolute errors1.0608
When INLIF LIMITED Ordinary prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any INLIF LIMITED Ordinary trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent INLIF LIMITED observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for INLIF LIMITED

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INLIF LIMITED Ordinary. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.514.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.494.04
Details

Other Forecasting Options for INLIF LIMITED

For every potential investor in INLIF, whether a beginner or expert, INLIF LIMITED's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. INLIF Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in INLIF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying INLIF LIMITED's price trends.

INLIF LIMITED Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with INLIF LIMITED stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of INLIF LIMITED could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing INLIF LIMITED by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

INLIF LIMITED Ordinary Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of INLIF LIMITED's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of INLIF LIMITED's current price.

INLIF LIMITED Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how INLIF LIMITED stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading INLIF LIMITED shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying INLIF LIMITED stock market strength indicators, traders can identify INLIF LIMITED Ordinary entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

INLIF LIMITED Risk Indicators

The analysis of INLIF LIMITED's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in INLIF LIMITED's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting inlif stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether INLIF LIMITED Ordinary is a strong investment it is important to analyze INLIF LIMITED's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact INLIF LIMITED's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding INLIF Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of INLIF LIMITED to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of INLIF LIMITED. If investors know INLIF will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about INLIF LIMITED listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.28)
Earnings Share
(0.05)
Revenue Per Share
1.417
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.525
Return On Assets
(0.03)
The market value of INLIF LIMITED Ordinary is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of INLIF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of INLIF LIMITED's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is INLIF LIMITED's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because INLIF LIMITED's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect INLIF LIMITED's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between INLIF LIMITED's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if INLIF LIMITED is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, INLIF LIMITED's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.