Impresa Sociedade Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| IPR Stock | EUR 0.19 0.01 5.00% |
Impresa Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of Impresa Sociedade's share price is approaching 39. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Impresa Sociedade, making its price go up or down. Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Impresa Sociedade hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Impresa Sociedade from the perspective of Impresa Sociedade response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Impresa Sociedade on the next trading day is expected to be 0.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.36. Impresa Sociedade after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Impresa |
Impresa Sociedade Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Impresa price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Impresa using various technical indicators. When you analyze Impresa charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Impresa Sociedade Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Impresa Sociedade on the next trading day is expected to be 0.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000074, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.36.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Impresa Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Impresa Sociedade's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Impresa Sociedade Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Impresa Sociedade | Impresa Sociedade Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Impresa Sociedade Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Impresa Sociedade's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Impresa Sociedade's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 3.85, respectively. We have considered Impresa Sociedade's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Impresa Sociedade stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Impresa Sociedade stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0011 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.006 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0284 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.3554 |
Predictive Modules for Impresa Sociedade
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Impresa Sociedade. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Impresa Sociedade After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Impresa Sociedade at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Impresa Sociedade or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Impresa Sociedade, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Impresa Sociedade Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Impresa Sociedade's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Impresa Sociedade's historical news coverage. Impresa Sociedade's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 3.85, respectively. We have considered Impresa Sociedade's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Impresa Sociedade is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Impresa Sociedade is based on 3 months time horizon.
Impresa Sociedade Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Impresa Sociedade is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Impresa Sociedade backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Impresa Sociedade, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.45 | 3.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.19 | 0.19 | 0.00 |
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Impresa Sociedade Hype Timeline
Impresa Sociedade is currently traded for 0.19on Euronext Lisbon of Portugal. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Impresa is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.45%. %. The volatility of related hype on Impresa Sociedade is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.19. About 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.19. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Impresa Sociedade had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the 13th of June 2007. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Impresa Sociedade to cross-verify your projections.Impresa Sociedade Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Impresa Sociedade's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Impresa Sociedade's future price movements. Getting to know how Impresa Sociedade's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Impresa Sociedade may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EGL | Mota Engil SGPS SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 3.14 | (3.66) | 10.70 | |
| MAR | Martifer SGPS SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.64 | (3.33) | 9.75 | |
| ALTR | Altri SGPS SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.85 | (2.24) | 5.38 | |
| SON | Sonae SGPS SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.58 | 0.22 | 2.05 | (1.23) | 4.79 | |
| TDSA | Teixeira Duarte | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.23 | (5.17) | 11.94 |
Other Forecasting Options for Impresa Sociedade
For every potential investor in Impresa, whether a beginner or expert, Impresa Sociedade's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Impresa Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Impresa. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Impresa Sociedade's price trends.Impresa Sociedade Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Impresa Sociedade stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Impresa Sociedade could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Impresa Sociedade by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Impresa Sociedade Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Impresa Sociedade stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Impresa Sociedade shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Impresa Sociedade stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Impresa Sociedade entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.19 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 39.25 |
Impresa Sociedade Risk Indicators
The analysis of Impresa Sociedade's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Impresa Sociedade's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting impresa stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.44 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.66 | |||
| Variance | 13.39 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Impresa Sociedade
The number of cover stories for Impresa Sociedade depends on current market conditions and Impresa Sociedade's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Impresa Sociedade is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Impresa Sociedade's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Impresa Stock Analysis
When running Impresa Sociedade's price analysis, check to measure Impresa Sociedade's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Impresa Sociedade is operating at the current time. Most of Impresa Sociedade's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Impresa Sociedade's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Impresa Sociedade's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Impresa Sociedade to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.