Impresa Sociedade (Portugal) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.12

IPR Stock  EUR 0.12  0.01  9.09%   
Impresa Sociedade's future price is the expected price of Impresa Sociedade instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Impresa Sociedade performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Impresa Sociedade Backtesting, Impresa Sociedade Valuation, Impresa Sociedade Correlation, Impresa Sociedade Hype Analysis, Impresa Sociedade Volatility, Impresa Sociedade History as well as Impresa Sociedade Performance.
  
Please specify Impresa Sociedade's target price for which you would like Impresa Sociedade odds to be computed.

Impresa Sociedade Target Price Odds to finish over 0.12

The tendency of Impresa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.12 90 days 0.12 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Impresa Sociedade to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Impresa Sociedade probability density function shows the probability of Impresa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Impresa Sociedade has a beta of -0.0481. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Impresa Sociedade are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Impresa Sociedade is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Impresa Sociedade has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Impresa Sociedade Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Impresa Sociedade

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Impresa Sociedade. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.123.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.103.15
Details

Impresa Sociedade Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Impresa Sociedade is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Impresa Sociedade's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Impresa Sociedade, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Impresa Sociedade within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Impresa Sociedade Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Impresa Sociedade for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Impresa Sociedade can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Impresa Sociedade generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Impresa Sociedade has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Impresa Sociedade has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Impresa Sociedade has accumulated 97.1 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.12, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Impresa Sociedade has a current ratio of 0.64, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Impresa Sociedade until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Impresa Sociedade's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Impresa Sociedade sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Impresa to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Impresa Sociedade's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 59.0% of Impresa Sociedade shares are held by company insiders

Impresa Sociedade Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Impresa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Impresa Sociedade's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Impresa Sociedade's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding168 M

Impresa Sociedade Technical Analysis

Impresa Sociedade's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Impresa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Impresa Sociedade. In general, you should focus on analyzing Impresa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Impresa Sociedade Predictive Forecast Models

Impresa Sociedade's time-series forecasting models is one of many Impresa Sociedade's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Impresa Sociedade's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Impresa Sociedade

Checking the ongoing alerts about Impresa Sociedade for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Impresa Sociedade help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Impresa Sociedade generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Impresa Sociedade has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Impresa Sociedade has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Impresa Sociedade has accumulated 97.1 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.12, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Impresa Sociedade has a current ratio of 0.64, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Impresa Sociedade until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Impresa Sociedade's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Impresa Sociedade sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Impresa to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Impresa Sociedade's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 59.0% of Impresa Sociedade shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Impresa Stock Analysis

When running Impresa Sociedade's price analysis, check to measure Impresa Sociedade's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Impresa Sociedade is operating at the current time. Most of Impresa Sociedade's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Impresa Sociedade's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Impresa Sociedade's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Impresa Sociedade to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.