Iron Mountain Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

IRM Stock  USD 87.32  0.27  0.31%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Iron Mountain Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 87.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.75. Iron Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The value of RSI of Iron Mountain's share price is at 50. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Iron Mountain, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Iron Mountain's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Iron Mountain and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Iron Mountain's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Iron Mountain Incorporated, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Iron Mountain hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Iron Mountain Incorporated from the perspective of Iron Mountain response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Iron Mountain Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 87.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.75.

Iron Mountain after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 87.32  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Iron Mountain to cross-verify your projections.

Iron Mountain Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Iron price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Iron using various technical indicators. When you analyze Iron charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Iron Mountain simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Iron Mountain Incorporated are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Iron Mountain prices get older.

Iron Mountain Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Iron Mountain Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 87.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.31, mean absolute percentage error of 3.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.75.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Iron Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Iron Mountain's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Iron Mountain Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Iron MountainIron Mountain Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Iron Mountain Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Iron Mountain's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Iron Mountain's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 85.37 and 89.27, respectively. We have considered Iron Mountain's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
87.32
87.32
Expected Value
89.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Iron Mountain stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Iron Mountain stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.4764
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2298
MADMean absolute deviation1.3125
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0145
SAESum of the absolute errors78.75
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Iron Mountain Incorporated forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Iron Mountain observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Iron Mountain

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Iron Mountain. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
85.3787.3289.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.2681.2196.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
78.5682.9987.42
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Iron Mountain

For every potential investor in Iron, whether a beginner or expert, Iron Mountain's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Iron Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Iron. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Iron Mountain's price trends.

Iron Mountain Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Iron Mountain stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Iron Mountain could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Iron Mountain by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Iron Mountain Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Iron Mountain's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Iron Mountain's current price.

Iron Mountain Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Iron Mountain stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Iron Mountain shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Iron Mountain stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Iron Mountain Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Iron Mountain Risk Indicators

The analysis of Iron Mountain's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Iron Mountain's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting iron stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Prophet
When determining whether Iron Mountain is a strong investment it is important to analyze Iron Mountain's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Iron Mountain's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Iron Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Iron Mountain to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Iron Mountain. If investors know Iron will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Iron Mountain listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Iron Mountain is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Iron that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Iron Mountain's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Iron Mountain's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Iron Mountain's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Iron Mountain's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Iron Mountain's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Iron Mountain is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Iron Mountain's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.