Jefferies Financial Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| JEF Stock | USD 57.17 1.70 2.89% |
Jefferies Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Jefferies Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Jefferies Financial's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.09) | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.259 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.5957 | Wall Street Target Price 74.6667 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.9441 |
Using Jefferies Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jefferies Financial Group from the perspective of Jefferies Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Jefferies Financial using Jefferies Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Jefferies using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Jefferies Financial's stock price.
Jefferies Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Jefferies Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Jefferies. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Jefferies Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 57.3424 | Short Percent 0.0282 | Short Ratio 2.76 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.3 M | 50 Day MA 61.0854 |
Jefferies Relative Strength Index
Jefferies Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Jefferies Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Jefferies. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Jefferies can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Jefferies Financial Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Jefferies Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Jefferies Financial.
Jefferies Financial Implied Volatility | 0.67 |
Jefferies Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Jefferies Financial Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Jefferies Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Jefferies Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Jefferies Financial's options are near their expiration.
Jefferies Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 58.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Jefferies contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Jefferies Financial Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0419% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Jefferies Financial trading at USD 57.17, that is roughly USD 0.0239 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Jefferies Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Jefferies Financial Group options at the current volatility level of 0.67%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Jefferies Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Jefferies Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Jefferies Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Jefferies Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Jefferies Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to Jefferies Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Jefferies Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Jefferies. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Jefferies Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Jefferies price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jefferies using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jefferies charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Check Jefferies Financial Volatility | Backtest Jefferies Financial | Information Ratio |
Jefferies Financial Trading Date Momentum
| On February 05 2026 Jefferies Financial Group was traded for 57.16 at the closing time. Highest Jefferies Financial's price during the trading hours was 57.16 and the lowest price during the day was 57.16 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 5th of February did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 2.98% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Jefferies Financial to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Jefferies Financial
For every potential investor in Jefferies, whether a beginner or expert, Jefferies Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jefferies Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jefferies. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jefferies Financial's price trends.Jefferies Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jefferies Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jefferies Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jefferies Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Jefferies Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jefferies Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jefferies Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jefferies Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jefferies Financial Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 57.17 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 57.17 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.85) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.70) |
Jefferies Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Jefferies Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jefferies Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jefferies stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.13 | |||
| Variance | 4.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.83 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.54 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.57) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Jefferies Financial
The number of cover stories for Jefferies Financial depends on current market conditions and Jefferies Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jefferies Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jefferies Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Jefferies Financial Short Properties
Jefferies Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Jefferies Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jefferies Financial Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jefferies Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jefferies Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 222.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jefferies Financial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Can Multi-Sector Holdings industry sustain growth momentum? Does Jefferies have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jefferies Financial. Expected growth trajectory for Jefferies significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Jefferies Financial demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.09) | Dividend Share 1.6 | Earnings Share 2.85 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.057 |
Investors evaluate Jefferies Financial using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Jefferies Financial's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Jefferies Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Jefferies Financial's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Jefferies Financial represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Jefferies Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.