Aurora Mobile Stock Forward View
| JG Stock | USD 7.81 0.05 0.64% |
Aurora Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Aurora Mobile's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 10th of February 2026 the relative strength indicator of Aurora Mobile's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 7.12 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.15 |
Using Aurora Mobile hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aurora Mobile from the perspective of Aurora Mobile response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Aurora Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aurora Mobile on the next trading day is expected to be 7.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.64.Aurora Mobile Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Aurora Mobile's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Aurora. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Aurora can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Aurora Mobile. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Aurora Mobile's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Aurora Mobile.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aurora Mobile on the next trading day is expected to be 7.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.64. Aurora Mobile after-hype prediction price | USD 7.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aurora Mobile to cross-verify your projections. Aurora Mobile Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aurora price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aurora using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aurora charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Aurora Mobile Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Aurora Mobile's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2016-12-31 | Previous Quarter 119.4 M | Current Value 92.4 M | Quarterly Volatility 176.2 M |
Aurora Mobile Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aurora Mobile on the next trading day is expected to be 7.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.64.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aurora Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aurora Mobile's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Aurora Mobile Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Aurora Mobile | Aurora Mobile Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Aurora Mobile Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Aurora Mobile's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aurora Mobile's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.41 and 11.08, respectively. We have considered Aurora Mobile's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aurora Mobile stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aurora Mobile stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.866 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2728 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.039 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.6388 |
Predictive Modules for Aurora Mobile
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aurora Mobile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aurora Mobile After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aurora Mobile at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aurora Mobile or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aurora Mobile, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aurora Mobile Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aurora Mobile's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aurora Mobile's historical news coverage. Aurora Mobile's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.89 and 11.57, respectively. We have considered Aurora Mobile's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aurora Mobile is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aurora Mobile is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aurora Mobile Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aurora Mobile is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aurora Mobile backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aurora Mobile, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 3.84 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
7.81 | 7.73 | 1.02 |
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Aurora Mobile Hype Timeline
As of February 10, 2026 Aurora Mobile is listed for 7.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Aurora is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.73. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Aurora Mobile is about 2181.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.87. The book value of the company was currently reported as 1.56. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.08. Aurora Mobile had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:20 split on the 11th of December 2023. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aurora Mobile to cross-verify your projections.Aurora Mobile Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aurora Mobile's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aurora Mobile's future price movements. Getting to know how Aurora Mobile's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aurora Mobile may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UBXG | U BX Technology Ltd | (0.15) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.10 | (5.11) | 14.69 | |
| MOGO | Mogo Inc | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 4.50 | (6.40) | 14.17 | |
| INTZ | Intrusion | 0.06 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 7.19 | (8.84) | 23.78 | |
| MFI | mF International Limited | 3.04 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 18.00 | (15.10) | 47.72 | |
| CISO | Cerberus Cyber Sentinel | (0.03) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 11.43 | (9.09) | 27.28 | |
| KOSS | Koss Corporation | 0.03 | 6 per month | 2.82 | (0.01) | 5.20 | (4.59) | 18.84 | |
| INLX | Intellinetics | (0.12) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.96 | (3.16) | 11.14 | |
| NUKK | Nukkleus | (0.07) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 13.02 | (12.32) | 38.98 | |
| PGY | Pagaya Technologies | (0.93) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 8.51 | (8.60) | 22.52 | |
| LPSN | LivePerson | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 5.56 | (7.19) | 25.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for Aurora Mobile
For every potential investor in Aurora, whether a beginner or expert, Aurora Mobile's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aurora Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aurora. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aurora Mobile's price trends.Aurora Mobile Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aurora Mobile stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aurora Mobile could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aurora Mobile by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aurora Mobile Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aurora Mobile stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aurora Mobile shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aurora Mobile stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Aurora Mobile entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 7.81 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 7.81 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.05) |
Aurora Mobile Risk Indicators
The analysis of Aurora Mobile's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aurora Mobile's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aurora stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.05 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.98 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.16 | |||
| Variance | 17.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 17.69 | |||
| Semi Variance | 15.85 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.18) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Aurora Mobile
The number of cover stories for Aurora Mobile depends on current market conditions and Aurora Mobile's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aurora Mobile is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aurora Mobile's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Aurora Mobile Short Properties
Aurora Mobile's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aurora Mobile's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aurora Mobile often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aurora Mobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aurora Mobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 119.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aurora Mobile to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Aurora Stock please use our How to Invest in Aurora Mobile guide.You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Can Application Software industry sustain growth momentum? Does Aurora have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aurora Mobile. Expected growth trajectory for Aurora significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Aurora Mobile demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Earnings Share (0.08) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.15 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate Aurora Mobile using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Aurora Mobile's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Aurora Mobile's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Aurora Mobile's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Aurora Mobile represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Aurora Mobile's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.