JinkoSolar Holding Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

JKS Stock  USD 29.60  0.38  1.27%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of JinkoSolar Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 27.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.33. JinkoSolar Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of JinkoSolar Holding's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of JinkoSolar Holding's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of JinkoSolar Holding and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from JinkoSolar Holding's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with JinkoSolar Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting JinkoSolar Holding's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.98)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(1.48)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(6.41)
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.234
Wall Street Target Price
37.422
Using JinkoSolar Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JinkoSolar Holding from the perspective of JinkoSolar Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards JinkoSolar Holding using JinkoSolar Holding's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards JinkoSolar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of JinkoSolar Holding's stock price.

JinkoSolar Holding Short Interest

An investor who is long JinkoSolar Holding may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about JinkoSolar Holding and may potentially protect profits, hedge JinkoSolar Holding with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
21.687
Short Percent
0.0661
Short Ratio
4.01
Shares Short Prior Month
1.9 M
50 Day MA
24.6488

JinkoSolar Holding Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to JinkoSolar Holding's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in JinkoSolar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding JinkoSolar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around JinkoSolar Holding. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of JinkoSolar Holding's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about JinkoSolar Holding.

JinkoSolar Holding Implied Volatility

    
  0.68  
JinkoSolar Holding's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of JinkoSolar Holding stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if JinkoSolar Holding's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that JinkoSolar Holding stock will not fluctuate a lot when JinkoSolar Holding's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of JinkoSolar Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 27.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.33.

JinkoSolar Holding after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 29.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JinkoSolar Holding to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy JinkoSolar Stock please use our How to Invest in JinkoSolar Holding guide.At this time, JinkoSolar Holding's Payables Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 3.45 in 2026, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 5.61 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 18.7 M in 2026, whereas Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop slightly above 458.6 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 JinkoSolar Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast JinkoSolar Holding's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in JinkoSolar Holding's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for JinkoSolar Holding stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current JinkoSolar Holding's open interest, investors have to compare it to JinkoSolar Holding's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of JinkoSolar Holding is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in JinkoSolar. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

JinkoSolar Holding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine JinkoSolar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JinkoSolar using various technical indicators. When you analyze JinkoSolar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the JinkoSolar Holding's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2008-12-31
Previous Quarter
27.4 B
Current Value
23.4 B
Quarterly Volatility
6.7 B
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for JinkoSolar Holding is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of JinkoSolar Holding value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

JinkoSolar Holding Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 15th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of JinkoSolar Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 27.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.09, mean absolute percentage error of 1.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.33.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JinkoSolar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JinkoSolar Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

JinkoSolar Holding Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest JinkoSolar HoldingJinkoSolar Holding Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

JinkoSolar Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting JinkoSolar Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JinkoSolar Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.34 and 32.18, respectively. We have considered JinkoSolar Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
29.60
27.76
Expected Value
32.18
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JinkoSolar Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JinkoSolar Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.6483
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.0874
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0417
SAESum of the absolute errors66.3327
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of JinkoSolar Holding. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict JinkoSolar Holding. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for JinkoSolar Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JinkoSolar Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.6729.0933.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.8730.2934.71
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
34.0537.4241.54
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.85-0.220.41
Details

Other Forecasting Options for JinkoSolar Holding

For every potential investor in JinkoSolar, whether a beginner or expert, JinkoSolar Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JinkoSolar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JinkoSolar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JinkoSolar Holding's price trends.

JinkoSolar Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JinkoSolar Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JinkoSolar Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JinkoSolar Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

JinkoSolar Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of JinkoSolar Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of JinkoSolar Holding's current price.

JinkoSolar Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JinkoSolar Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JinkoSolar Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JinkoSolar Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JinkoSolar Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

JinkoSolar Holding Risk Indicators

The analysis of JinkoSolar Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JinkoSolar Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jinkosolar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for JinkoSolar Stock Analysis

When running JinkoSolar Holding's price analysis, check to measure JinkoSolar Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JinkoSolar Holding is operating at the current time. Most of JinkoSolar Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JinkoSolar Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JinkoSolar Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JinkoSolar Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.