JinkoSolar Holding Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

JKS Stock  USD 21.67  0.74  3.30%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of JinkoSolar Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 24.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 146.35. JinkoSolar Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, JinkoSolar Holding's Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to gain to 4.98 in 2024, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 2.30 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 35.7 M in 2024. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop to about 458.6 M in 2024.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through JinkoSolar Holding price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

JinkoSolar Holding Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of JinkoSolar Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 24.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.36, mean absolute percentage error of 8.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 146.35.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JinkoSolar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JinkoSolar Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

JinkoSolar Holding Stock Forecast Pattern

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JinkoSolar Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting JinkoSolar Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JinkoSolar Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.31 and 31.20, respectively. We have considered JinkoSolar Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
21.67
24.75
Expected Value
31.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JinkoSolar Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JinkoSolar Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.1232
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.3605
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1022
SAESum of the absolute errors146.3513
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as JinkoSolar Holding historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for JinkoSolar Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JinkoSolar Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.8522.2528.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.5028.3634.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
18.3623.3528.35
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
45.8450.3755.91
Details

Other Forecasting Options for JinkoSolar Holding

For every potential investor in JinkoSolar, whether a beginner or expert, JinkoSolar Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JinkoSolar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JinkoSolar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JinkoSolar Holding's price trends.

JinkoSolar Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JinkoSolar Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JinkoSolar Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JinkoSolar Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

JinkoSolar Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of JinkoSolar Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of JinkoSolar Holding's current price.

JinkoSolar Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JinkoSolar Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JinkoSolar Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JinkoSolar Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JinkoSolar Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

JinkoSolar Holding Risk Indicators

The analysis of JinkoSolar Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JinkoSolar Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jinkosolar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for JinkoSolar Stock Analysis

When running JinkoSolar Holding's price analysis, check to measure JinkoSolar Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JinkoSolar Holding is operating at the current time. Most of JinkoSolar Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JinkoSolar Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JinkoSolar Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JinkoSolar Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.