Kingstone Companies Stock Forward View
| KINS Stock | USD 15.17 0.36 2.32% |
Kingstone Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength indicator of Kingstone Companies' share price is approaching 44. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kingstone Companies, making its price go up or down. Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.345 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.56 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.22 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.35 | Wall Street Target Price 21.5 |
Using Kingstone Companies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kingstone Companies from the perspective of Kingstone Companies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kingstone Companies using Kingstone Companies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kingstone using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kingstone Companies' stock price.
Kingstone Companies Implied Volatility | 0.92 |
Kingstone Companies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kingstone Companies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kingstone Companies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kingstone Companies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kingstone Companies' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kingstone Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 15.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.51. Kingstone Companies after-hype prediction price | USD 15.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kingstone contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kingstone Companies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0575% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Kingstone Companies trading at USD 15.17, that is roughly USD 0.008723 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kingstone Companies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kingstone Companies options at the current volatility level of 0.92%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Kingstone Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Kingstone Companies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Kingstone Companies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Kingstone Companies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Kingstone Companies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Kingstone Companies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Kingstone Companies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Kingstone. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Kingstone Companies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kingstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kingstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kingstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Kingstone Companies' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1996-03-31 | Previous Quarter 33.7 M | Current Value 26.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 781 M |
Kingstone Companies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kingstone Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 15.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.51.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kingstone Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kingstone Companies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kingstone Companies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kingstone Companies | Kingstone Companies Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Kingstone Companies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kingstone Companies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kingstone Companies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.10 and 17.66, respectively. We have considered Kingstone Companies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kingstone Companies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kingstone Companies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7142 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2662 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0169 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.5071 |
Predictive Modules for Kingstone Companies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kingstone Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kingstone Companies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kingstone Companies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kingstone Companies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kingstone Companies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kingstone Companies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kingstone Companies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kingstone Companies' historical news coverage. Kingstone Companies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.40 and 16.94, respectively. We have considered Kingstone Companies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kingstone Companies is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kingstone Companies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kingstone Companies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kingstone Companies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kingstone Companies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kingstone Companies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.78 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 5 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.17 | 15.17 | 0.00 |
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Kingstone Companies Hype Timeline
Kingstone Companies is now traded for 15.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Kingstone is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kingstone Companies is about 500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.19. About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Kingstone Companies was now reported as 7.61. The company last dividend was issued on the 11th of February 2026. Kingstone Companies had 1:5 split on the 26th of August 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kingstone Companies to cross-verify your projections.Kingstone Companies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kingstone Companies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kingstone Companies' future price movements. Getting to know how Kingstone Companies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kingstone Companies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FSFG | First Savings Financial | 0.34 | 7 per month | 1.29 | 0.07 | 2.88 | (1.96) | 9.58 | |
| HWBK | Hawthorn Bancshares | 1.75 | 9 per month | 2.00 | 0.1 | 4.15 | (4.01) | 12.58 | |
| SNFCA | Security National Financial | 0.01 | 7 per month | 2.00 | 0.05 | 4.77 | (3.25) | 10.13 | |
| CFFI | CF Financial | 1.20 | 9 per month | 1.63 | 0.1 | 3.65 | (2.75) | 8.22 | |
| AVBH | Avidbank Holdings Common | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.68 | 0.15 | 2.67 | (1.55) | 6.08 | |
| OPBK | OP Bancorp | (0.29) | 7 per month | 1.74 | 0.03 | 3.35 | (3.22) | 11.36 | |
| VABK | Virginia National Bankshares | 0.72 | 6 per month | 1.41 | 0.04 | 3.27 | (2.27) | 8.40 | |
| LCNB | LCNB Corporation | 0.66 | 7 per month | 1.29 | 0.12 | 2.81 | (2.13) | 8.02 | |
| YB | Yuanbao American Depositary | 0.22 | 20 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.17 | (5.53) | 17.29 | |
| CBNA | Chain Bridge Bancorp | (1.05) | 8 per month | 1.89 | 0.16 | 3.72 | (4.04) | 10.70 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kingstone Companies
For every potential investor in Kingstone, whether a beginner or expert, Kingstone Companies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kingstone Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kingstone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kingstone Companies' price trends.Kingstone Companies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kingstone Companies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kingstone Companies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kingstone Companies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kingstone Companies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kingstone Companies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kingstone Companies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kingstone Companies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kingstone Companies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 4680.18 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.46) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 15.26 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 15.23 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.26) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.36) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 44.11 |
Kingstone Companies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kingstone Companies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kingstone Companies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kingstone stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.79 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Variance | 3.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.4 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.2 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.41) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kingstone Companies
The number of cover stories for Kingstone Companies depends on current market conditions and Kingstone Companies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kingstone Companies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kingstone Companies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kingstone Companies Short Properties
Kingstone Companies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Kingstone Companies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kingstone Companies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kingstone Companies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kingstone Companies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 28.7 M |
Additional Tools for Kingstone Stock Analysis
When running Kingstone Companies' price analysis, check to measure Kingstone Companies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kingstone Companies is operating at the current time. Most of Kingstone Companies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kingstone Companies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kingstone Companies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kingstone Companies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.