CarMax Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

KMX Stock  USD 46.29  1.54  3.22%   
CarMax Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of CarMax's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CarMax's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CarMax Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting CarMax's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.47)
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.6849
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.6032
Wall Street Target Price
38.8462
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.316
Using CarMax hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CarMax Inc from the perspective of CarMax response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CarMax using CarMax's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CarMax using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CarMax's stock price.

CarMax Short Interest

An investor who is long CarMax may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about CarMax and may potentially protect profits, hedge CarMax with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
54.211
Short Percent
0.1269
Short Ratio
3.8
Shares Short Prior Month
15.1 M
50 Day MA
40.086

CarMax Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to CarMax's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CarMax. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CarMax can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CarMax Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

CarMax Implied Volatility

    
  0.54  
CarMax's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CarMax Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CarMax's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CarMax stock will not fluctuate a lot when CarMax's options are near their expiration.

CarMax after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 46.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CarMax to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CarMax contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CarMax Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0338% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With CarMax trading at USD 46.29, that is roughly USD 0.0156 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CarMax's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CarMax Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.54%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 CarMax Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CarMax's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in CarMax's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for CarMax stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CarMax's open interest, investors have to compare it to CarMax's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CarMax is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CarMax. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

CarMax Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CarMax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CarMax using various technical indicators. When you analyze CarMax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
CarMax Inc has current Accumulation Distribution of 0.0361. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which CarMax is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of CarMax Inc to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by CarMax trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check CarMax VolatilityBacktest CarMaxInformation Ratio  

CarMax Trading Date Momentum

On January 25 2026 CarMax Inc was traded for  46.29  at the closing time. Highest CarMax's price during the trading hours was 47.88  and the lowest price during the day was  46.15 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 25th of January did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 2.70% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare CarMax to competition

Other Forecasting Options for CarMax

For every potential investor in CarMax, whether a beginner or expert, CarMax's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CarMax Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CarMax. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CarMax's price trends.

CarMax Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CarMax stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CarMax could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CarMax by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CarMax Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CarMax stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CarMax shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CarMax stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CarMax Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CarMax Risk Indicators

The analysis of CarMax's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CarMax's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting carmax stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for CarMax

The number of cover stories for CarMax depends on current market conditions and CarMax's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CarMax is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CarMax's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

CarMax Short Properties

CarMax's future price predictability will typically decrease when CarMax's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CarMax Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CarMax's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CarMax's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding156.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments247 M

Additional Tools for CarMax Stock Analysis

When running CarMax's price analysis, check to measure CarMax's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CarMax is operating at the current time. Most of CarMax's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CarMax's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CarMax's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CarMax to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.