Kopin Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| KOPN Stock | USD 2.93 0.20 6.39% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kopin on the next trading day is expected to be 2.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.33. Kopin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Kopin's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Kopin's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Kopin fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Kopin's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.01 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.03) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.03 | Wall Street Target Price 4.6875 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) |
Using Kopin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kopin from the perspective of Kopin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kopin using Kopin's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kopin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kopin's stock price.
Kopin Short Interest
An investor who is long Kopin may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Kopin and may potentially protect profits, hedge Kopin with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 2.1547 | Short Percent 0.089 | Short Ratio 4.98 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.7 M | 50 Day MA 2.5962 |
Kopin Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Kopin's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kopin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kopin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kopin. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Kopin Implied Volatility | 1.39 |
Kopin's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kopin stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kopin's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kopin stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kopin's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kopin on the next trading day is expected to be 2.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.33.
Kopin after-hype prediction price | USD 3.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kopin to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kopin contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kopin will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0869% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Kopin trading at USD 2.93, that is roughly USD 0.002545 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kopin's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kopin options at the current volatility level of 1.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Kopin Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Kopin's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Kopin's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Kopin stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Kopin's open interest, investors have to compare it to Kopin's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Kopin is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Kopin. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Kopin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kopin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kopin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kopin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kopin Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kopin on the next trading day is expected to be 2.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.33.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kopin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kopin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kopin Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kopin | Kopin Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Kopin Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kopin's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kopin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 7.80, respectively. We have considered Kopin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kopin stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kopin stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.2726 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0135 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1055 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0388 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.33 |
Predictive Modules for Kopin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kopin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kopin After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kopin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kopin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kopin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kopin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kopin's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kopin's historical news coverage. Kopin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.16 and 8.01, respectively. We have considered Kopin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kopin is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kopin is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kopin Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kopin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kopin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kopin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 4.87 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.93 | 3.14 | 0.32 |
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Kopin Hype Timeline
Kopin is now traded for 2.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Kopin is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.14 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.32%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Kopin is about 1751.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.88. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 50.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (43.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.05 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kopin to cross-verify your projections.Kopin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kopin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kopin's future price movements. Getting to know how Kopin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kopin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VPG | Vishay Precision Group | (0.72) | 8 per month | 2.54 | 0.14 | 6.32 | (4.47) | 15.50 | |
| AMBQ | Ambiq Micro | 0.19 | 7 per month | 3.80 | 0.04 | 6.03 | (6.56) | 17.30 | |
| WEAV | Weave Communications | 0.39 | 8 per month | 2.71 | 0.02 | 4.80 | (5.26) | 20.60 | |
| NBP | NovaBridge Biosciences | 0.05 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 7.25 | (8.92) | 22.59 | |
| LPTH | LightPath Technologies | (0.33) | 9 per month | 4.54 | 0.18 | 11.65 | (8.33) | 28.78 | |
| CLMB | Climb Global Solutions | (2.89) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.28 | (5.57) | 13.98 | |
| BAND | Bandwidth | (0.26) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.66 | (3.75) | 14.57 | |
| DOMO | Domo Inc | 0.47 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 5.21 | (7.64) | 28.80 | |
| DAVA | Endava | (0.26) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.08 | (4.51) | 34.91 | |
| AIP | Arteris | 0.58 | 10 per month | 4.68 | 0.06 | 7.11 | (7.51) | 43.24 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kopin
For every potential investor in Kopin, whether a beginner or expert, Kopin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kopin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kopin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kopin's price trends.Kopin Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kopin stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kopin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kopin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kopin Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kopin stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kopin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kopin stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kopin entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.93 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.93 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.10) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.20) |
Kopin Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kopin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kopin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kopin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.84 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.06 | |||
| Variance | 25.63 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kopin
The number of cover stories for Kopin depends on current market conditions and Kopin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kopin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kopin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kopin Short Properties
Kopin's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kopin's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kopin often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kopin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kopin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 132.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 35.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kopin to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Kopin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Kopin guide.You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kopin. If investors know Kopin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kopin listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.02) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Kopin is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kopin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kopin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kopin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kopin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kopin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kopin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kopin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kopin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.