Karman Holdings Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| KRMN Stock | 76.85 3.68 5.03% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Karman Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 87.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 256.58. Karman Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Karman Holdings' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Karman Holdings' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Karman Holdings fundamentals over time.
The relative strength indicator of Karman Holdings' stock price is about 66. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Karman, making its price go up or down. Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.244 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.3582 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.5615 | Wall Street Target Price 83.2857 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.1095 |
Using Karman Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Karman Holdings from the perspective of Karman Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Karman Holdings using Karman Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Karman using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Karman Holdings' stock price.
Karman Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long Karman Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Karman Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Karman Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 55.2014 | Short Percent 0.1269 | Short Ratio 4.51 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.7 M | 50 Day MA 71.5062 |
Karman Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Karman Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Karman. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Karman can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Karman Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Karman Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Karman Holdings.
Karman Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.62 |
Karman Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Karman Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Karman Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Karman Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Karman Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Karman Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 87.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 256.58. Karman Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 76.72 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Karman Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Karman Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Karman Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Karman Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Karman Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Karman Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Karman Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Karman Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Karman. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Karman Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Karman price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Karman using various technical indicators. When you analyze Karman charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Karman Holdings Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 5th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Karman Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 87.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.21, mean absolute percentage error of 27.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 256.58.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Karman Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Karman Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Karman Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Karman Holdings | Karman Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Karman Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Karman Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Karman Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 83.89 and 91.23, respectively. We have considered Karman Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Karman Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Karman Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.4381 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.2062 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0586 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 256.5774 |
Predictive Modules for Karman Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Karman Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Karman Holdings
For every potential investor in Karman, whether a beginner or expert, Karman Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Karman Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Karman. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Karman Holdings' price trends.Karman Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Karman Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Karman Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Karman Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Karman Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Karman Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Karman Holdings' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Karman Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Karman Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Karman Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Karman Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Karman Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Karman Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Karman Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Karman Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting karman stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.76 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.59 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.6 | |||
| Variance | 12.99 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.92 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.86 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.76) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Karman Holdings
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Karman Holdings position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Karman Holdings will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Karman Stock
Moving against Karman Stock
| 0.54 | PFE | Pfizer Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.52 | KO | Coca Cola | PairCorr |
| 0.51 | CSCO | Cisco Systems | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | MRK | Merck Company | PairCorr |
| 0.41 | LNDNF | Lundin Energy AB | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Karman Holdings could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Karman Holdings when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Karman Holdings - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Karman Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Karman Holdings is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Karman Holdings moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Karman Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Karman Holdings can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Karman Holdings to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Karman Stock, please use our How to Invest in Karman Holdings guide.You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Karman Holdings. If investors know Karman will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Karman Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.244 | Earnings Share 0.08 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.417 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Karman Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Karman that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Karman Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Karman Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Karman Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Karman Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Karman Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Karman Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Karman Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.