Karman Holdings Stock Price Patterns
| KRMN Stock | 75.79 2.92 3.71% |
Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.244 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.3642 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.6546 | Wall Street Target Price 111.8889 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.1095 |
Using Karman Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Karman Holdings from the perspective of Karman Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Karman Holdings using Karman Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Karman using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Karman Holdings' stock price.
Karman Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long Karman Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Karman Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Karman Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 64.4925 | Short Percent 0.1485 | Short Ratio 4.21 | Shares Short Prior Month 8 M | 50 Day MA 87.666 |
Karman Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Karman Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Karman. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Karman can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Karman Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Karman Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Karman Holdings.
Karman Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.92 |
Karman Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Karman Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Karman Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Karman Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Karman Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Karman Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Karman because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Karman Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 73.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Karman contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Karman Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0575% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Karman Holdings trading at USD 75.79, that is roughly USD 0.0436 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Karman Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Karman Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.92%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Karman Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Karman Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Karman Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Karman Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Karman Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Karman Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Karman Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Karman Holdings' historical news coverage. Karman Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 69.03 and 78.59, respectively. We have considered Karman Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Karman Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Karman Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Karman Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Karman Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Karman Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Karman Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.54 | 4.78 | 1.98 | 0.77 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
75.79 | 73.81 | 2.61 |
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Karman Holdings Hype Timeline
Karman Holdings is now traded for 75.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.98, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.77. Karman is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 73.81. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 130.6%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.61%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.54%. The volatility of related hype on Karman Holdings is about 333.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 75.02. About 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Karman Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Karman Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Karman Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Karman Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Karman Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Karman Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ERJ | ERJ Old | (0.31) | 9 per month | 2.08 | 0.04 | 4.08 | (3.91) | 9.21 | |
| HII | Huntington Ingalls Industries | 14.77 | 7 per month | 2.30 | 0.15 | 4.34 | (3.03) | 16.77 | |
| DRS | Leonardo DRS Common | 1.48 | 7 per month | 1.88 | 0.03 | 4.41 | (2.72) | 14.12 | |
| SARO | StandardAero | (0.25) | 10 per month | 1.72 | 0.06 | 3.07 | (3.65) | 8.19 | |
| BLD | Topbuild Corp | (4.44) | 10 per month | 1.60 | 0.14 | 4.78 | (3.27) | 10.98 | |
| STRL | Sterling Construction | (16.52) | 9 per month | 4.41 | 0.05 | 5.34 | (6.91) | 19.82 | |
| AYI | Acuity Brands | 0.17 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.66 | (2.86) | 16.54 | |
| TXT | Textron | 1.39 | 9 per month | 1.50 | 0.13 | 2.37 | (1.64) | 11.43 | |
| CAE | CAE Inc | (0.51) | 10 per month | 1.77 | 0.06 | 3.17 | (3.67) | 9.61 | |
| KTOS | Kratos Defense Security | (10.13) | 10 per month | 4.19 | 0.05 | 9.28 | (6.53) | 25.43 |
Karman Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Karman price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Karman using various technical indicators. When you analyze Karman charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Karman Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Karman Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Karman Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Karman Holdings based on analysis of Karman Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Karman Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Karman Holdings's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 1.99E-4 | 3.9E-5 | 3.5E-5 | 7.0E-5 | Price To Sales Ratio | 14.15 | 11.5 | 13.23 | 15.84 |
Pair Trading with Karman Holdings
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Karman Holdings position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Karman Holdings will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Karman Stock
| 0.89 | BA | Boeing | PairCorr |
| 0.87 | CW | Curtiss Wright | PairCorr |
| 0.87 | GD | General Dynamics | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | MO7R | MOOG INC CL | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Karman Holdings could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Karman Holdings when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Karman Holdings - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Karman Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Karman Holdings is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Karman Holdings moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Karman Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Karman Holdings can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Karman Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Karman Stock, please use our How to Invest in Karman Holdings guide.You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Will Aerospace & Defense sector continue expanding? Could Karman diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Karman Holdings. Expected growth trajectory for Karman significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Karman Holdings data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.244 | Earnings Share 0.09 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.417 | Return On Assets |
Karman Holdings's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Karman's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Karman Holdings' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Karman Holdings' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Karman Holdings' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Karman Holdings represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Karman Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.