Kaixin Auto Stock Forward View
| KXIN Stock | USD 10.13 3.57 26.06% |
Kaixin Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Kaixin Auto's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Kaixin Auto's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Kaixin Auto fundamentals over time.
As of today, the value of RSI of Kaixin Auto's share price is approaching 43. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kaixin Auto, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.74) |
Using Kaixin Auto hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kaixin Auto Holdings from the perspective of Kaixin Auto response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kaixin Auto Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 17.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 237.42. Kaixin Auto after-hype prediction price | USD 10.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kaixin Auto to cross-verify your projections. Kaixin Auto Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kaixin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kaixin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kaixin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kaixin Auto Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Kaixin Auto's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2017-06-30 | Previous Quarter 552 K | Current Value 552 K | Quarterly Volatility 2.5 M |
Kaixin Auto Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kaixin Auto Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 17.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.83, mean absolute percentage error of 29.97, and the sum of the absolute errors of 237.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kaixin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kaixin Auto's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kaixin Auto Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kaixin Auto | Kaixin Auto Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Kaixin Auto Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kaixin Auto's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kaixin Auto's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.90 and 34.35, respectively. We have considered Kaixin Auto's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kaixin Auto stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kaixin Auto stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.3486 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.8293 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.3925 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 237.4189 |
Predictive Modules for Kaixin Auto
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kaixin Auto Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kaixin Auto After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kaixin Auto at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kaixin Auto or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kaixin Auto, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kaixin Auto Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kaixin Auto's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kaixin Auto's historical news coverage. Kaixin Auto's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.51 and 26.84, respectively. We have considered Kaixin Auto's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kaixin Auto is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kaixin Auto Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kaixin Auto Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kaixin Auto is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kaixin Auto backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kaixin Auto, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.53 | 16.73 | 0.16 | 0.30 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.13 | 10.13 | 0.00 |
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Kaixin Auto Hype Timeline
Kaixin Auto Holdings is now traded for 10.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.16, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.3. Kaixin is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.53%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kaixin Auto is about 2976.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.83. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.15. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kaixin Auto Holdings has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 110.64. The entity recorded a loss per share of 626.7. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Kaixin Auto had 1:30 split on the 1st of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kaixin Auto to cross-verify your projections.Kaixin Auto Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kaixin Auto's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kaixin Auto's future price movements. Getting to know how Kaixin Auto's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kaixin Auto may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JZXN | Jiuzi Holdings | 0.03 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 8.38 | (19.15) | 70.16 | |
| WKSP | Worksport | (0.15) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 6.67 | (9.03) | 21.89 | |
| RENT | Rent the Runway | (6.25) | 10 per month | 4.32 | 0.11 | 12.98 | (8.16) | 26.69 | |
| AZI | Autozi Internet Technology | 0.30 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 21.43 | (17.65) | 88.70 | |
| PSPX | PSPX | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PC | Premium Catering Limited | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LGCB | Linkage Global Ordinary | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 9.84 | (6.84) | 25.37 | |
| UCAR | U Power Limited | 0.30 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.79 | (5.00) | 15.91 | |
| EFOI | Energy Focu | (0.06) | 19 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.09 | (6.22) | 30.39 | |
| GORV | Lazydays Holdings | 0.20 | 26 per month | 0.00 | (0.43) | 15.45 | (29.81) | 63.56 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kaixin Auto
For every potential investor in Kaixin, whether a beginner or expert, Kaixin Auto's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kaixin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kaixin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kaixin Auto's price trends.Kaixin Auto Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kaixin Auto stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kaixin Auto could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kaixin Auto by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kaixin Auto Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kaixin Auto stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kaixin Auto shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kaixin Auto stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kaixin Auto Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kaixin Auto Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kaixin Auto's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kaixin Auto's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kaixin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 11.69 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 17.82 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 16.39 | |||
| Variance | 268.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 338.96 | |||
| Semi Variance | 317.54 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (11.91) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kaixin Auto
The number of cover stories for Kaixin Auto depends on current market conditions and Kaixin Auto's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kaixin Auto is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kaixin Auto's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kaixin Auto Short Properties
Kaixin Auto's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kaixin Auto's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kaixin Auto Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kaixin Auto's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kaixin Auto's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.4 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kaixin Auto to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Will Automotive Retail sector continue expanding? Could Kaixin diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kaixin Auto. Expected growth trajectory for Kaixin significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Kaixin Auto data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (626.70) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.74) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Kaixin Auto Holdings's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Kaixin's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Kaixin Auto's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Kaixin Auto's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Kaixin Auto's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Kaixin Auto represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Kaixin Auto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.