General Motors Stock Price Patterns
| GM Stock | USD 84.27 0.27 0.32% |
Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.50) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.6897 | EPS Estimate Current Year 12.2674 | EPS Estimate Next Year 13.5382 | Wall Street Target Price 92 |
Using GM hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of General Motors from the perspective of GM response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards GM using GM's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards GM using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of GM's stock price.
GM Short Interest
An investor who is long GM may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about GM and may potentially protect profits, hedge GM with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 61.0753 | Short Percent 0.0298 | Short Ratio 2.84 | Shares Short Prior Month 20.7 M | 50 Day MA 79.2976 |
General Motors Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to GM's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in GM. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding GM can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around General Motors. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of GM's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about GM.
GM Implied Volatility | 0.69 |
GM's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of General Motors stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if GM's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that GM stock will not fluctuate a lot when GM's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GM to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
GM after-hype prediction price | USD 83.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current GM contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that General Motors will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0431% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With GM trading at USD 84.27, that is roughly USD 0.0363 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating GM's daily price movement you should consider acquiring General Motors options at the current volatility level of 0.69%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out GM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. GM After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GM at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GM or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GM, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GM Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GM's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GM's historical news coverage. GM's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 81.60 and 85.62, respectively. We have considered GM's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GM is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of General Motors is based on 3 months time horizon.
GM Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GM is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GM backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GM, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 2.01 | 0.39 | 2.55 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
84.27 | 83.61 | 0.46 |
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GM Hype Timeline
As of February 2, 2026 General Motors is listed for 84.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.39, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 2.55. GM is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 83.61. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.46%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.39%. The volatility of related hype on GM is about 30.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 86.82. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.28. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. General Motors has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.86. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of March 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the March 29, 1989. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out GM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.GM Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GM's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GM's future price movements. Getting to know how GM's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GM may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| F | Ford Motor | (0.12) | 8 per month | 1.23 | 0.03 | 3.38 | (2.35) | 7.16 | |
| RACE | Ferrari NV | (0.66) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.98 | (2.82) | 7.22 | |
| AZO | AutoZone | 61.07 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.73 | (2.59) | 9.96 | |
| HLT | Hilton Worldwide Holdings | (1.71) | 7 per month | 0.96 | 0.1 | 2.63 | (2.00) | 7.52 | |
| GELHY | Geely Automobile Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.40 | (3.05) | 6.06 | |
| MAR | Marriott International | (0.89) | 8 per month | 1.06 | 0.12 | 3.48 | (1.63) | 8.46 | |
| RCL | Royal Caribbean Cruises | 2.17 | 9 per month | 2.93 | 0.01 | 4.85 | (4.40) | 11.67 | |
| ORLY | OReilly Automotive | (0.52) | 8 per month | 1.43 | 0 | 2.32 | (2.35) | 6.34 | |
| CPNG | Coupang LLC | (0.45) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 2.66 | (5.07) | 11.82 |
GM Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GM using various technical indicators. When you analyze GM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About GM Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of GM stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as General Motors, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GM based on analysis of GM hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GM's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GM's related companies. | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0122 | 0.008787 | 0.008348 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.29 | 0.4 | 0.28 |
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out GM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Will Automobile Manufacturers sector continue expanding? Could GM diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GM. Market participants price GM higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every GM data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.50) | Dividend Share 0.57 | Earnings Share 3.18 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
General Motors's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on GM's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate GM's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since GM's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GM's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GM is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GM's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.