Lamar Advertising Stock Forward View

LAMR Stock  USD 128.00  0.88  0.69%   
Lamar Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Lamar Advertising's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Lamar Advertising's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Lamar Advertising fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Lamar Advertising's share price is at 53. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lamar Advertising, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 53

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lamar Advertising's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lamar Advertising and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lamar Advertising's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lamar Advertising, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lamar Advertising's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.03)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.4722
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.944
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.9137
Wall Street Target Price
134.8
Using Lamar Advertising hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lamar Advertising from the perspective of Lamar Advertising response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lamar Advertising using Lamar Advertising's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lamar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lamar Advertising's stock price.

Lamar Advertising Short Interest

An investor who is long Lamar Advertising may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Lamar Advertising and may potentially protect profits, hedge Lamar Advertising with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
122.9964
Short Percent
0.074
Short Ratio
7.74
Shares Short Prior Month
3.7 M
50 Day MA
129.2166

Lamar Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lamar Advertising on the next trading day is expected to be 123.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.58.

Lamar Advertising Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Lamar Advertising's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lamar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lamar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lamar Advertising. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lamar Advertising's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lamar Advertising.

Lamar Advertising Implied Volatility

    
  0.25  
Lamar Advertising's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lamar Advertising stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lamar Advertising's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lamar Advertising stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lamar Advertising's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lamar Advertising on the next trading day is expected to be 123.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.58.

Lamar Advertising after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 128.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lamar Advertising to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Lamar Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lamar Advertising guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lamar contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lamar Advertising will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0156% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Lamar Advertising trading at USD 128.0, that is roughly USD 0.02 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lamar Advertising's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lamar Advertising options at the current volatility level of 0.25%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Lamar Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Lamar Advertising's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Lamar Advertising's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Lamar Advertising stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Lamar Advertising's open interest, investors have to compare it to Lamar Advertising's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Lamar Advertising is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Lamar. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Lamar Advertising Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lamar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lamar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lamar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Lamar Advertising Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Lamar Advertising's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1995-09-30
Previous Quarter
55.7 M
Current Value
22 M
Quarterly Volatility
61.7 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Lamar Advertising is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Lamar Advertising value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Lamar Advertising Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lamar Advertising on the next trading day is expected to be 123.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06, mean absolute percentage error of 1.78, and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lamar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lamar Advertising's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lamar Advertising Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Lamar Advertising  Lamar Advertising Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Lamar Advertising Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lamar Advertising's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lamar Advertising's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 122.63 and 125.14, respectively. We have considered Lamar Advertising's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
128.00
122.63
Downside
123.89
Expected Value
125.14
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lamar Advertising stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lamar Advertising stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.6867
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.0587
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0084
SAESum of the absolute errors64.5797
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Lamar Advertising. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Lamar Advertising. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Lamar Advertising

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lamar Advertising. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
126.75128.00129.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
125.15126.40140.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
123.91128.37132.83
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
122.67134.80149.63
Details

Lamar Advertising After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lamar Advertising at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lamar Advertising or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lamar Advertising, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lamar Advertising Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lamar Advertising's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lamar Advertising's historical news coverage. Lamar Advertising's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 126.75 and 129.25, respectively. We have considered Lamar Advertising's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
128.00
126.75
Downside
128.00
After-hype Price
129.25
Upside
Lamar Advertising is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lamar Advertising is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lamar Advertising Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lamar Advertising is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lamar Advertising backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lamar Advertising, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
1.25
  0.20 
  0.01 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
128.00
128.00
0.00 
100.81  
Notes

Lamar Advertising Hype Timeline

Lamar Advertising is now traded for 128.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Lamar is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 100.81%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lamar Advertising is about 2500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 128.01. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 22nd of December 2025. Lamar Advertising had 3:2 split on the 2nd of March 1998. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lamar Advertising to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Lamar Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lamar Advertising guide.

Lamar Advertising Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lamar Advertising's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lamar Advertising's future price movements. Getting to know how Lamar Advertising's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lamar Advertising may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GLPIGaming Leisure Properties(0.21)10 per month 1.14 (0) 2.80 (2.06) 7.00 
AMHAmerican Homes 4(0.09)8 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.00 (2.29) 7.05 
REGRegency Centers 0.07 8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 1.67 (1.60) 3.79 
ELSEquity Lifestyle Properties 0.65 10 per month 0.97 (0.01) 2.11 (1.69) 4.37 
OHIOmega Healthcare Investors 0.12 10 per month 1.12  0.06  2.13 (1.77) 8.67 
KIMKimco Realty 0.07 3 per month 0.00 (0.14) 1.69 (1.94) 4.64 
HSTHost Hotels Resorts 0.11 10 per month 1.14  0.10  2.65 (2.03) 9.68 
NLYAnnaly Capital Management(0.07)9 per month 0.61  0.20  2.39 (1.37) 5.24 
RITMRithm Capital Corp(0.20)9 per month 0.86  0.10  2.15 (1.62) 5.69 

Other Forecasting Options for Lamar Advertising

For every potential investor in Lamar, whether a beginner or expert, Lamar Advertising's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lamar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lamar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lamar Advertising's price trends.

Lamar Advertising Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lamar Advertising stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lamar Advertising could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lamar Advertising by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lamar Advertising Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lamar Advertising stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lamar Advertising shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lamar Advertising stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lamar Advertising entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lamar Advertising Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lamar Advertising's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lamar Advertising's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lamar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Lamar Advertising

The number of cover stories for Lamar Advertising depends on current market conditions and Lamar Advertising's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lamar Advertising is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lamar Advertising's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Lamar Advertising Short Properties

Lamar Advertising's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lamar Advertising's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lamar Advertising often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lamar Advertising's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lamar Advertising's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding102.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments49.5 M

Additional Tools for Lamar Stock Analysis

When running Lamar Advertising's price analysis, check to measure Lamar Advertising's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lamar Advertising is operating at the current time. Most of Lamar Advertising's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lamar Advertising's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lamar Advertising's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lamar Advertising to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.