Landmark Bancorp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

LARK Stock  USD 26.40  0.58  2.15%   
Landmark Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Landmark Bancorp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Landmark Bancorp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Landmark Bancorp fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Landmark Bancorp's share price is at 50. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Landmark Bancorp, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Landmark Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Landmark Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Landmark Bancorp's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.247
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.127
Using Landmark Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Landmark Bancorp from the perspective of Landmark Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Landmark Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Landmark Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 27.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.29.

Landmark Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Landmark Bancorp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Landmark. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Landmark can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Landmark Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Landmark Bancorp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Landmark Bancorp.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Landmark Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 27.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.29.

Landmark Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 26.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Landmark Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Landmark Stock please use our How to buy in Landmark Stock guide.

Landmark Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Landmark price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Landmark using various technical indicators. When you analyze Landmark charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Landmark Bancorp Cash Forecast

To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Landmark Bancorp's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1994-03-31
Previous Quarter
28.5 M
Current Value
23.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
26.7 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Landmark Bancorp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Landmark Bancorp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Landmark Bancorp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Landmark Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 27.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Landmark Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Landmark Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Landmark Bancorp Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Landmark Bancorp  Landmark Bancorp Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Landmark Bancorp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Landmark Bancorp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Landmark Bancorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.78 and 29.34, respectively. We have considered Landmark Bancorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.40
27.56
Expected Value
29.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Landmark Bancorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Landmark Bancorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.7741
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.431
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0161
SAESum of the absolute errors26.2905
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Landmark Bancorp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Landmark Bancorp. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Landmark Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Landmark Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.6226.4028.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.6426.4228.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
24.7226.3327.94
Details

Landmark Bancorp After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Landmark Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Landmark Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Landmark Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Landmark Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Landmark Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Landmark Bancorp's historical news coverage. Landmark Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.62 and 28.18, respectively. We have considered Landmark Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
26.40
26.40
After-hype Price
28.18
Upside
Landmark Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Landmark Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Landmark Bancorp Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Landmark Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Landmark Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Landmark Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
1.78
 0.00  
  0.02 
8 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
26.40
26.40
0.00 
17,800  
Notes

Landmark Bancorp Hype Timeline

Landmark Bancorp is now traded for 26.40. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Landmark is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Landmark Bancorp is about 1236.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.42. About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.05. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Landmark Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 12th of November 2025. The entity had 105:100 split on the 2nd of December 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Landmark Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Landmark Stock please use our How to buy in Landmark Stock guide.

Landmark Bancorp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Landmark Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Landmark Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Landmark Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Landmark Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FCAPFirst Capital 0.19 6 per month 2.68  0.07  6.23 (5.18) 17.93 
CFBKCF Bankshares(0.04)8 per month 0.82  0.14  4.49 (1.80) 9.61 
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.34 7 per month 1.53  0.01  3.70 (2.31) 8.84 
PEBKPeoples Bancorp of 0.09 10 per month 1.04  0.09  3.26 (1.72) 5.97 
MRBKMeridian Bank 0.29 7 per month 1.04  0.14  4.14 (2.24) 9.93 
HNVRHanover Bancorp 0.31 8 per month 0.90  0.09  2.54 (2.05) 7.48 
ECBKECB Bancorp 0.18 9 per month 1.09  0.03  2.00 (1.66) 11.46 
CZWICitizens Community Bancorp 0.12 10 per month 0.87  0.09  2.36 (1.73) 7.50 
EBMTEagle Bancorp Montana 0.24 11 per month 1.00  0.20  3.06 (1.80) 5.59 
MNSBMainstreet Bank(0.28)8 per month 1.32  0.07  3.35 (2.64) 8.15 

Other Forecasting Options for Landmark Bancorp

For every potential investor in Landmark, whether a beginner or expert, Landmark Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Landmark Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Landmark. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Landmark Bancorp's price trends.

Landmark Bancorp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Landmark Bancorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Landmark Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Landmark Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Landmark Bancorp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Landmark Bancorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Landmark Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Landmark Bancorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Landmark Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Landmark Bancorp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Landmark Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Landmark Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting landmark stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Landmark Bancorp

The number of cover stories for Landmark Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Landmark Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Landmark Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Landmark Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Landmark Bancorp Short Properties

Landmark Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Landmark Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Landmark Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Landmark Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Landmark Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments59.7 M
When determining whether Landmark Bancorp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Landmark Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Landmark Bancorp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Landmark Bancorp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Landmark Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Landmark Stock please use our How to buy in Landmark Stock guide.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Landmark Bancorp. Expected growth trajectory for Landmark significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Landmark Bancorp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.247
Dividend Share
0.83
Earnings Share
3.11
Revenue Per Share
11.137
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.127
Understanding Landmark Bancorp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Landmark's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Landmark Bancorp's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Landmark Bancorp's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Landmark Bancorp's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Landmark Bancorp represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Landmark Bancorp's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.