Landmark Bancorp Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

LARK Stock  USD 25.97  0.22  0.84%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Landmark Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 25.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.41. Landmark Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Landmark Bancorp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Landmark Bancorp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Landmark Bancorp fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Landmark Bancorp's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Landmark Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Landmark Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Landmark Bancorp's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.247
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.127
Using Landmark Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Landmark Bancorp from the perspective of Landmark Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Landmark Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 25.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.41.

Landmark Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 25.97  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Landmark Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Landmark Stock please use our How to buy in Landmark Stock guide.At this time, Landmark Bancorp's Receivables Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 5.69 this year, although the value of Payables Turnover will most likely fall to 0.21. . The value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to slide to about 4.5 M. The value of Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to slide to about 7.6 M.

Landmark Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Landmark price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Landmark using various technical indicators. When you analyze Landmark charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Landmark Bancorp simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Landmark Bancorp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Landmark Bancorp prices get older.

Landmark Bancorp Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Landmark Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 25.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Landmark Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Landmark Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Landmark Bancorp Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Landmark BancorpLandmark Bancorp Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Landmark Bancorp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Landmark Bancorp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Landmark Bancorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.75 and 27.19, respectively. We have considered Landmark Bancorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.97
25.97
Expected Value
27.19
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Landmark Bancorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Landmark Bancorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.0136
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0212
MADMean absolute deviation0.2402
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0091
SAESum of the absolute errors14.41
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Landmark Bancorp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Landmark Bancorp observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Landmark Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Landmark Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.7425.9727.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.9826.2127.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
26.0327.7029.38
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Landmark Bancorp

For every potential investor in Landmark, whether a beginner or expert, Landmark Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Landmark Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Landmark. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Landmark Bancorp's price trends.

Landmark Bancorp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Landmark Bancorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Landmark Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Landmark Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Landmark Bancorp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Landmark Bancorp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Landmark Bancorp's current price.

Landmark Bancorp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Landmark Bancorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Landmark Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Landmark Bancorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Landmark Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Landmark Bancorp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Landmark Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Landmark Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting landmark stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Landmark Bancorp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Landmark Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Landmark Bancorp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Landmark Bancorp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Landmark Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Landmark Stock please use our How to buy in Landmark Stock guide.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Landmark Bancorp. If investors know Landmark will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Landmark Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.247
Dividend Share
0.83
Earnings Share
3.11
Revenue Per Share
11.137
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.127
The market value of Landmark Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Landmark that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Landmark Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Landmark Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Landmark Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Landmark Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Landmark Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Landmark Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Landmark Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.