Liberty Defense OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

LDDFF Stock  USD 0.12  0.01  7.69%   
Liberty OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Liberty Defense's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 28th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Liberty Defense's share price is approaching 32. This indicates that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Liberty Defense, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 32

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Liberty Defense Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Liberty Defense shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Liberty Defense's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Liberty Defense and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Liberty Defense's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Liberty Defense Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Liberty Defense based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Liberty Defense hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Liberty Defense Holdings from the perspective of Liberty Defense response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Liberty Defense Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.1 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.48.

Liberty Defense after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.12  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Liberty Defense to cross-verify your projections.

Liberty Defense Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Liberty price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Liberty using various technical indicators. When you analyze Liberty charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Liberty Defense is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Liberty Defense Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Liberty Defense Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Liberty Defense Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.1 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000097, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Liberty OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Liberty Defense's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Liberty Defense OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Liberty Defense  Liberty Defense Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Liberty Defense Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Liberty Defense's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Liberty Defense's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.72, respectively. We have considered Liberty Defense's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.12
0.1
Expected Value
5.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Liberty Defense otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Liberty Defense otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.7026
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0077
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0433
SAESum of the absolute errors0.4753
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Liberty Defense Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Liberty Defense. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Liberty Defense

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liberty Defense Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.125.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.125.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Liberty Defense. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Liberty Defense's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Liberty Defense's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Liberty Defense Holdings.

Liberty Defense After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Liberty Defense at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Liberty Defense or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Liberty Defense, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Liberty Defense Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Liberty Defense's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Liberty Defense's historical news coverage. Liberty Defense's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 5.70, respectively. We have considered Liberty Defense's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.12
0.12
After-hype Price
5.70
Upside
Liberty Defense is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Liberty Defense Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Liberty Defense OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Liberty Defense is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Liberty Defense backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Liberty Defense, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.30 
5.62
  1.03 
  0.21 
4 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.12
0.12
0.00 
711.39  
Notes

Liberty Defense Hype Timeline

Liberty Defense Holdings is now traded for 0.12. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.21. Liberty is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -1.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Liberty Defense is about 3556.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.09. The book value of the company was now reported as 0.04. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.23. Liberty Defense Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:6 split on the 22nd of March 2021. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Liberty Defense to cross-verify your projections.

Liberty Defense Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Liberty Defense's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Liberty Defense's future price movements. Getting to know how Liberty Defense's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Liberty Defense may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LTNCLabor Smart 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ALXXFAvante Logixx 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.16  0.00  0.00  48.89 
CWSFFCielo Waste Solutions 0.00 0 per month 9.40  0.05  30.77 (17.55) 123.96 
TCHHTrustcash Holdings(0.79)8 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FSCRFederal Screw Works(0.79)8 per month 1.84  0.01  3.60 (4.64) 18.83 
ITGMFBiomedico Hadarim 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HLLKHallmark Venture Group 0.00 0 per month 13.00  0.05  11.76 (16.67) 250.00 
PRBCFPrecise Biometrics AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CRWECrown Equity Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0) 0.00  0.00  21.95 
CVVIFSociedad Comercial Del 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Liberty Defense

For every potential investor in Liberty, whether a beginner or expert, Liberty Defense's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Liberty OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Liberty. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Liberty Defense's price trends.

Liberty Defense Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Liberty Defense otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Liberty Defense could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Liberty Defense by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Liberty Defense Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Liberty Defense otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Liberty Defense shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Liberty Defense otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Liberty Defense Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Liberty Defense Risk Indicators

The analysis of Liberty Defense's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Liberty Defense's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting liberty otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Liberty Defense

The number of cover stories for Liberty Defense depends on current market conditions and Liberty Defense's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Liberty Defense is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Liberty Defense's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Liberty OTC Stock

Liberty Defense financial ratios help investors to determine whether Liberty OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Liberty with respect to the benefits of owning Liberty Defense security.