Lion Electric Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

LEV Stock  CAD 0.29  0.03  9.38%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Lion Electric Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.51. Lion Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Lion Electric's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Lion Electric's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Lion Electric fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Lion Electric's Inventory Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 24th of November 2024, Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 0.31, while Payables Turnover is likely to drop 3.98. . As of the 24th of November 2024, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 21.5 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop about 173.5 M.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Lion Electric is based on an artificially constructed time series of Lion Electric daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Lion Electric 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Lion Electric Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.51.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lion Electric's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lion Electric Stock Forecast Pattern

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Lion Electric Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lion Electric's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lion Electric's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 7.22, respectively. We have considered Lion Electric's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.29
0.36
Expected Value
7.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lion Electric stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lion Electric stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria98.7414
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0607
MADMean absolute deviation0.0662
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1294
SAESum of the absolute errors3.5063
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Lion Electric Corp 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Lion Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lion Electric Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.407.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.287.14
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.17-0.14-0.12
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Lion Electric

For every potential investor in Lion, whether a beginner or expert, Lion Electric's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lion Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lion Electric's price trends.

Lion Electric Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lion Electric stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lion Electric could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lion Electric by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lion Electric Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lion Electric's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lion Electric's current price.

Lion Electric Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lion Electric stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lion Electric shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lion Electric stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lion Electric Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lion Electric Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lion Electric's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lion Electric's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lion stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
When determining whether Lion Electric Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lion Electric's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lion Electric's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lion Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lion Electric to cross-verify your projections.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Lion Electric's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lion Electric is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lion Electric's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.